Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Roberto (Montevideo)

Referee: Heras H. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Racing Montevideo		Albion Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	4.1	Watch
	1.73	3.40	4.50
	1.85	3.1	4.2
	1.87	3.42	4.75
	1.85	3.38	4.4	Watch
	1.83	3.35	4.45
	1.79	3.18	4.42	Watch
	1.87	3.2	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.06)	3.27 ↑ (3.08)	4.39 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Montevideo
50.6%

Draw
28.3%

Albion Montevideo
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.7%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

28.9%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Montevideo's performance.

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Racing Montevideo - Albion Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Varese F. (G) 20. Bentancor E. 29. Gonzalez F. 13. Alvarez F. 17. Ferreira M. 10. Da Silva E. 5. Bosca J. 34. Agustin De la Cuesta 37. Oyarzo Y. 9. Da Silva S. 30. Gadea R.	1. Jaume S. (G) 20. Gutierrez R. 2. Couture F. 24. de los Santos M. 16. Alvarez J. 5. Ginella F. 15. Alcoba P. 22. Vera A. 10. Airala C. 11. Toledo H. 9. Lopez A.
Substitutes
44. Aragones L. 14. Daniel 40. Gallo S. 18. Habib T. 1. Machado F. (G) 81. Manzur I. 36. Pintos E. 23. Sosa N. 11. Suarez F. 27. Unyicio M.	18. Acosta B. 14. Alcoba M. 32. Figueroa T. 13. Lacoste P. 17. Marichal M. 8. Neira N. 33. Ortiz F. 23. Perez del Castillo B. 29. Puente F. 12. Ramallo P.
Coaches
Chambian C.	Nieves F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Oyarzo Y. 🟨,
35', Toledo H. 🟨,
41', Gutierrez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gutierrez R. ↓, Lacoste P. ↑,
57', Couture F. 🟨,
58', Toledo H. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
68', Vera A. ↓, Neira N. ↑,
68', Gonzalez F. ↓, Unyicio M. ↑,
70', Ferreira M. 🟨,
78', Gadea R. ↓, Suarez F. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Agustin De la Cuesta ⚽,
81', Lopez A. ↓, Figueroa T. ↑,
81', Ginella F. ↓, Alcoba M. ↑,
86', Bentancor E. ↓, Gallo S. ↑,
86', Da Silva S. ↓, Habib T. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 15).

Racing has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Albion has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Racing is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Racing Montevideo	9	3	3	3	9:8	1	12
16	Albion	9	1	0	8	9:18	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Montevideo - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.4%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.08.26	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	2:0 ✺
10.08.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Racing Montevideo	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Cerro - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWTWL
- Albion Montevideo
Uruguay Copa
27.08.26	Nacional Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.08.26	Albion Montevideo - Boston River	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Cerro - Albion Montevideo	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Albion Montevideo - Danubio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
28.02.26	Albion Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:3
Uruguayan Segunda Division
09.11.21	Racing Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	1:1
28.07.21	Albion Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	0:0
10.11.20	Albion Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:2
15.09.20	Racing Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	1:1

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