Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff (Montevideo)

Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Danubio		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.00	2.15	Watch
	3.30	3.00	2.15
	3.10	2.95	2.25
	3.57	3.08	2.32
	3.39	3.07	2.26	Watch
	3.50	3.00	2.20
	3.33	3.12	2.23	Watch
	3.25	3.00	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.06)	3.03 ↑ (2.91)	2.23 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danubio
27.8%

Draw
30.6%

Racing Montevideo
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

31.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

31.1%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Danubio - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goicoechea M. (C) 28. Femia E. 2. Velazquez E. 19. Brasil M. 4. Rinaldi M. 17. Velazquez A. 16. Rossi I. 38. Trasante J. 10. Peralta M. 20. Ferreira M. 9. Silveira H.	12. Varese F. (G) 13. Alvarez F. 3. Brazionis 29. Gonzalez F. 17. Ferreira M. (C) 10. Da Silva E. 30. Gadea R. 34. Agustin De la Cuesta 39. Vazquez A. 9. Da Silva S. 18. Habib T.
Substitutes
18. Balatti F. 31. Cavanagh T. 30. Fernandez S. 11. John Kleber 29. Jourdan M. 32. Martinez K. (G) 5. Millan J. 22. Montana A. 8. Rodriguez S. 6. Sosa L.	44. Aragones L. 20. Bentancor E. 22. Fernandez T. 1. Machado F. (G) 81. Manzur I. 36. Pintos S. 21. Sosa N. 11. Suarez F. 27. Unyicio M.
Coaches
Rocco L.	Chambian C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Velazquez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Velazquez E. ↓, Cavanagh T. ↑,
56', Brasil M. 🟨,
57', Ferreira M. 🟨,
62', Silveira H. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
62', Ferreira M. ↓, John Kleber ↑,
67', Habib T. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
67', Gadea R. ↓, Sosa N. ↑,
73', Trasante J. ↓, Millan J. ↑,
73', Gonzalez F. ↓, Bentancor E. ↑,
76', Vazquez A. ↓, Gallo S. ↑,
79', Fernandez T. 🟨,
81', Rossi I. ↓, Montana A. ↑,
90+1', Agustin De la Cuesta 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 1.

Danubio has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Racing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Racing might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Racing Montevideo	9	3	3	3	9:8	1	12
13	Danubio	9	1	4	4	4:10	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Montevideo - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.42%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.08.26	Boston River - Danubio	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Danubio - Cerro	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Albion Montevideo - Danubio	2:2 ✺
24.07.26	Montevideo City Torque - Danubio	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Danubio - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLTLT
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.08.26	Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	2:0 ✺
10.08.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Racing Montevideo	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Cerro - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Racing Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
21.02.26	Racing Montevideo - Danubio	4:0
02.11.25	Racing Montevideo - Danubio	1:2
18.06.25	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	1:2
03.05.25	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	0:0
17.11.24	Racing Montevideo - Danubio	0:0
19.05.24	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	0:1
14.10.23	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	0:2

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