Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Roberto (Montevideo)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Racing Montevideo		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.88	2.45	Watch
	2.87	3.10	2.30
	2.85	2.92	2.45
	2.99	3.1	2.66
	3.14	3.05	2.4	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.6
	2.97	2.97	2.53	Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.72)	3 ↓ (3.06)	2.47 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Montevideo
31.6%

Draw
30.9%

Nacional Montevideo
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

29.9%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Montevideo's performance.

Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Varese F. (G) 3. Brazionis 5. Bosca J. 9. Da Silva S. 10. Da Silva E. 13. Alvarez F. 17. Ferreira M. 18. Habib T. 34. Agustin De la Cuesta 37. Oyarzo Y. 39. Vazquez A.	1. Mejia L. (G) 15. Calione P. 2. Rogel A. 5. Calvo F. 7. Rodriguez N. 24. Nunez B. 36. Zuculini B. 8. Silva S. 6. Boggio L. 29. Correa T. 9. Gomez M.
Substitutes
20. Bentancor E. 19. Dudok R. 30. Gadea R. 29. Gonzalez F. 8. Loprete L. 1. Machado F. (G) 81. Manzur I. 23. Sosa N. 27. Unyicio M. 7. Varela J.	13. Ancheta E. 4. Arias A. 30. Barcia B. 20. Botta R. 19. De Los Santos J. 10. Dos Santos A. 23. Rodriguez L. 11. Silvera M. 27. Veron T. 32. Viera T.
Coaches
Chambian C.	Bava J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Rogel A. 🟨,
43', Oyarzo Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Boggio L. ↓, Botta R. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Habib T. (Penalty Awarded),
59', Nunez B. ↓, De Los Santos J. ↑,
59', Zuculini B. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
63', Alvarez F. 🟨,
68', Bosca J. 🟨,
72', Bosca J. ↓, Bentancor E. ↑,
72', Habib T. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
72', Rogel A. ↓, Veron T. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Alvarez F. ⚽,
85', Da Silva E. ↓, Sosa N. ↑,
85', Da Silva S. ↓, Gadea R. ↑,
88', Silva S. ↓, Dos Santos A. ↑,
88', Brazionis ↓, Varela J. ↑,
89', Calvo F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Nacional has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 16:46. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:20. (average 0.9:2).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Nacional	9	5	2	2	13:9	4	17
9	Racing Montevideo	9	3	3	3	9:8	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Nacional Montevideo - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.43%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.08.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Racing Montevideo	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Racing Montevideo - Boston River	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Cerro - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Racing Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.06.26	América de Cali - Racing Montevideo	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWLT?
- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.08.26	Nacional Montevideo - Boston River	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Nacional Montevideo - Progreso	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.07.26	Tigre - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
21.07.26	Nacional Montevideo - Tigre	0:3 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.07.26	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
14.02.26	Nacional Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:1
07.09.25	Nacional Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	3:0
14.06.25	Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:2
16.03.25	Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	0:1
08.11.24	Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	0:2
03.05.24	Nacional Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	4:2
05.10.23	Racing Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:2

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