Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Racing Santander		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	1.49	4	5.75	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5.25
	1.55	3.95	5.5
	1.55	4.15	6.71
	1.06	11.35	28.53	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5.5
	1.56	4.07	5.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.57)	5.02 ↑ (3.92)	9.01 ↑ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
68.6%

Draw
20.2%

Ceuta
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

23.8%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

23.2%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Santander's performance.

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceuta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Santander that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Racing Santander - Ceuta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Racing (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing Santander will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ezkieta J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. 4. Manu 5. Castro J. 32. Salinas J. 8. Aldasoro A. 18. Canales P. 11. Martin A. 10. Vicente I. 15. Sangalli M. 12. Villalibre A.	1. Lopez P. (G) 17. Almenara G. 6. Hernandez C. 4. Caparros A. 3. Matos Jose 8. Zalazar K. 19. Jamelli 23. Anuar 7. Ahmed A. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M. 27. Ugiagbe E.
Substitutes
13. Andreev P. (G) 7. Cabanzon Y. 20. Camara S. 37. Crespo A. 3. Garcia M. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 21. Ramon P. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 43. Santi F. 36. Sergio M.	26. Bassinga A. 32. Bote J. 24. Cantero Y. 20. Escudero A. 33. Gonzalez A. R. 15. Gonzalez D. 30. Josema 11. Ortuno J. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 10. Rodriguez C. 13. Vallejo G. (G) 21. Vallejo M.
Coaches
Lopez J.	Romero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Villalibre A. ⚽, Vicente I. (A),
21', Matos Jose 🟨,
24', 2 - 0, Vicente I. ⚽, Canales P. (A),
29', 2 - 1, Jamelli (Pen),
45+5', Anuar 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Almenara G. ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
55', 3 - 1, Vicente I. ⚽, Villalibre A. (A),
63', Aldasoro A. ↓, Sainz-Maza I. ↑,
63', Villalibre A. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
66', Jamelli ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
71', Fernandez Sanchez M. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
71', Matos Jose ↓, Redruello Nimo C. ↑,
75', Vicente I. ↓, Sergio M. ↑,
75', Sangalli M. ↓, Cabanzon Y. ↑,
81', 4 - 1, Jeremy Arevalo ⚽,
82', Ahmed A. ↓, Cantero Y. ↑,
90', Salinas J. ↓, Santi F. ↑,

Preview

Racing is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ceuta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Racing is the team to beat.

There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Injury) Gueye M. (Injury) Michelin C. (Injury)

There will not play in Ceuta: Bodiger Y. (Ribs Injury) Kone K. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Inactive) Youness (Muscle Injury)

We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
25.08.25	Albacete Balompié - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
16.08.25	Racing Santander - Castellón	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Racing Santander - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Racing Santander - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Osasuna - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWTTW
- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
23.08.25	Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	Valladolid - Ceuta	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.25	Ceuta - Sevilla B	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Cádiz - Ceuta	0:3 ✺
26.07.25	Al-Wakrah - Ceuta	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWWW

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