Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 1

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Referee: Muresan S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Valladolid		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.2	Watch
	1.68	3.75	4.33
	1.95	3.15	3.95
	2.02	3.27	4.26
	1.99	3.14	4.12	Watch
	1.57	3.75	5.5
	1.96	3.22	4.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.61)	3.35 ↓ (3.81)	4.37 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
50.3%

Draw
28.1%

Ceuta
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

24.5%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valladolid's form might have worsened.

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	5.3%	15.8%

Valladolid - Ceuta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Valladolid (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Valladolid will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valladolid will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 14. Alejo I. 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. 3. Bueno G. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 24. Juric S. (C) 11. Ndiaye A. 20. Chuki 17. Biuk S. 9. Latasa J.	13. Vallejo G. (G) 17. Almenara G. 6. Hernandez C. (C) 24. Cantero Y. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 8. Zalazar K. 14. Bodiger Y. 26. Bassinga A. 20. Escudero A. 21. Vallejo M. 22. Kone K.
Substitutes
1. Aceves A. (G) 12. Alani I. 34. Aranda J. L. 18. Delgado J. 27. Garriel I. 32. Koke 10. Marcos Andre 16. Maroto M. 28. Moreno X. 6. Nikitscher T. 7. Sylla M. 2. Trilli	7. Ahmed A. 23. Anuar 4. Caparros A. 15. Gonzalez D. 30. Josema 1. Lopez P. (G) 18. Matos Jose 11. Ortuno J. 10. Rodriguez C. 27. Ugiagbe E. 3. Youness
Coaches
Almada G.	Romero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Chuki ⚽, Biuk S. (A),
26', Biuk S. 🟨,
37', Meseguer Cavas V. A. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Ndiaye A. ⚽, Chuki (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bassinga A. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
46', Vallejo M. ↓, Youness ↑,
46', Kone K. ↓, Josema ↑,
54', Zalazar K. 🟨,
56', 3 - 0, Ndiaye A. ⚽,
60', Chuki 🟨,
64', Bodiger Y. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
76', Biuk S. ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
76', Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↓, Nikitscher T. ↑,
78', Escudero A. ↓, Anuar ↑,
81', Alejo I. ↓, Trilli ↑,
81', Chuki ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
85', Almenara G. 🟨,
87', Bueno G. ↓, Garriel I. ↑,

Preview

Valladolid is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Ceuta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Valladolid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Valladolid has had a series of away games.

In this match, Valladolid is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Valladolid: Amallah S. (Injury) Ponceau J. (Muscle Injury) Sylla M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Ceuta: Sanchez M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Valladolid: Latasa J. (Knock)

There are questionable in Ceuta: Ahmed A. (Inactive)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Burgos - Valladolid	2:2 ✺
06.08.25	Valladolid - Getafe	Canceled ✺
02.08.25	Bristol City - Valladolid	4:0 ✺
26.07.25	Colo-Colo - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
23.07.25	Colo-Colo - Valladolid	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 T?LWW
- AD Ceuta
Club Friendly
05.08.25	Ceuta - Sevilla B	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Cádiz - Ceuta	0:3 ✺
26.07.25	Al-Wakrah - Ceuta	1:4 ✺
19.07.25	Ceuta - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Ceuta - Leiria	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLL

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