Match Info

Date: 16 October 2020, Friday


	Radnik Surdulica		Bačka

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.75
	1.7	3.6	4.2
	1.79	3.25	3.7
	1.68	3.55	4.1
	1.71	3.9	4.42
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.73	3.68	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.85)	3.55 ↑ (3.3)	4.22 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radnik Surdulica
52.9%

Draw
25.6%

Bačka
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27.3%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

20.9%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Bačka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Radnik Surdulica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	8%	12%

Radnik Surdulica - Bačka Predictions

Users Predictions: Radnik Surdulica will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation to Prva Liga).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Radnik is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Radnik won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Radnik won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Superliga
04.10.20	Zlatibor Čajetina - Radnik Surdulica	1:4 ✺
26.09.20	Radnik Surdulica - Rad	4:2 ✺
18.09.20	Vojvodina - Radnik Surdulica	2:0 ✺
12.09.20	Radnik Surdulica - Inđija	0:2 ✺
29.08.20	Novi Pazar - Radnik Surdulica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLT
- Bačka Bačka Palanka
Serbian Superliga
03.10.20	Bačka - Javor Ivanjica	2:2 ✺
28.09.20	Partizan - Bačka	2:1 ✺
19.09.20	Bačka - Napredak Kruševac	0:0 ✺
13.09.20	Mladost Lučani - Bačka	2:1 ✺
29.08.20	Bačka - Voždovac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
13.04.19	Radnik Surdulica - Bačka	1:1
15.12.18	Radnik Surdulica - Bačka	3:2
25.08.18	Bačka - Radnik Surdulica	1:0
Club Friendly
04.07.18	Radnik Surdulica - Bačka	0:1
Serbian Superliga
25.04.18	Radnik Surdulica - Bačka	2:0
07.03.18	Bačka - Radnik Surdulica	4:2
Club Friendly
03.02.18	Bačka - Radnik Surdulica	0:1

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