Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday


	Radnički Niš		Neftchi Baku

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.80	3.40	2.10
	2.85	3.60	2.07
	3.06	3.55	2.06
	8.86	5.64	1.26	Watch
	3.00	3.30	2.03
	3.02	3.32	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (2.94)	3.8 ↑ (3.5)	1.94 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radnički Niš
24.6%

Draw
25.5%

Neftchi Baku
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

26.2%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

26.4%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radnički Niš has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Radnički Niš's form might have worsened.

Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftchi Baku's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radnički Niš than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Radnički Niš, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftchi Baku, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Radnički Niš - Neftchi Baku Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Balayev E. (G)
	33. Breno Almeida
	6. D'Almeida S.
	11. Faraj I.
	55. Gravillon A.
	20. Gustavo Klismahn
	5. Igor Ribeiro
	8. Mahmudov E. (C)
	77. Sacko F.
	24. Seck M.
	29. Tupta L.
Substitutes
	3. Abbasov R.
	91. Azizov N. (G)
	14. Badalov E.
	93. Cafarov R. (G)
	4. Camalov E.
	81. Hasanov M. (G)
	17. Khachayev M.
	82. Mammadli M.
	18. Mathew I.
	13. Piric K. (G)
	7. Safarov E.
	19. Salyanskiy A.
	97. Sambou B.
	80. Shirinov A.
	70. Shtogrin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Breno Almeida ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Breno Almeida ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 0 - 3, Salyanskiy A. ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location.

Radnički Niš is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Neftchi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Neftchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Radnički Niš has had a series of home games.

Neftchi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Radnički Niš - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.24%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radnički Niš
Club Friendly
07.07.26	Radnički Niš - Příbram	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Radnički Niš - UTA Arad	Canceled ✺
01.07.26	Radnički Niš - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	0:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
24.05.26	Radnički Niš - Spartak Subotica	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Bačka Topola - Radnički Niš	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 W?LWW
- Neftchi Baku
Club Friendly
06.07.26	Partizan - Neftchi Baku	1:0 ✺
02.07.26	Neftchi Baku - CFR Cluj	1:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
23.05.26	Kapaz - Neftchi Baku	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Sabah - Neftchi Baku	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Neftchi Baku - Shamakhi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLWWW

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