Match Info

Date: 19 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: Gminny Stadion Sportowy (Stezyca)

Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)


	Radunia Stężyca		Lechia Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.7	1.6
	4.1	4.1	1.67
	4.6	3.9	1.6
	4.03	4.14	1.68
	5	3.5	1.6
	4.8	3.88	1.66	Watch
	6.4	4.2	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↓ (6.4)	3.92 ↓ (4.2)	1.61 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radunia Stężyca
19.3%

Draw
23.5%

Lechia Gdańsk
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

22.2%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

21.5%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radunia Stężyca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lechia Gdańsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radunia Stężyca than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radunia Stężyca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lechia Gdańsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Radunia Stężyca - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Radunia Stężyca will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Lechia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Lechia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radunia Stężyca
Polish Division 2
14.10.22	KKS Kalisz - Radunia Stężyca	5:1 ✺
09.10.22	Radunia Stężyca - Motor Lublin	1:1 ✺
01.10.22	Polkowice - Radunia Stężyca	0:1 ✺
25.09.22	Radunia Stężyca - Olimpia Elbląg	2:2 ✺
17.09.22	Garbarnia Kraków - Radunia Stężyca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWTL
- Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.10.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Raków Częstochowa	0:3 ✺
08.10.22	Cracovia - Lechia Gdańsk	0:1 ✺
01.10.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.09.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Gedania Gdańsk	6:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.09.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLWT

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