Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 27

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Radunia Stężyca		Chojniczanka Chojnice

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.4	3.2	3.04
	2.38	3.08	3.07
	2.25	3.1	2.75
	2.34	3.13	2.87	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.5)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)	2.92 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radunia Stężyca
39.3%

Draw
29.3%

Chojniczanka Chojnice
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.7%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.9%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radunia Stężyca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Chojniczanka Chojnice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radunia Stężyca than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Radunia Stężyca - Chojniczanka Chojnice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tulowiecki K. (G) 4. Czajkowski P. 3. Dejewski T. 33. Kasprzak B. 44. Kurtovic R. 8. Luczak W. 77. Slomka W. 22. Spataru D. 6. Straus J. 23. Zielinski W. 37. Zwozny H.	1. Antkowiak M. (G) 80. Banach D. 8. Boczek T. 14. Edmundsson A. 79. Kozina M. 6. Paprzycki O. 26. Raburski C. 20. Sabala V. 7. Szczepanek B. 19. Szczytniewski S. 27. Vitalucci H.
Substitutes
10. Bartkowiak B. 2. Bashlay D. 9. Biskup M. 93. Boguslawski L. 16. Furman J. 7. Kuzimski M. 11. Mularczyk P. 57. Odyjewski A. (G) 14. Reclaw A.	40. Benvindo K. 11. Firmino A. 21. Golinski J. 98. Kolesar P. 91. Korczyc K. 33. Lic D. (G) 34. Nowacki D. 77. Pralat A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Tulowiecki K. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Zwozny H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kozina M. ↓, Firmino A. ↑,
54', Kasprzak B. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Kurtovic R. (Own goal),
58', Luczak W. ↓, Biskup M. ↑,
58', Kasprzak B. ↓, Mularczyk P. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Sabala V. ⚽,
66', Vitalucci H. 🟨,
68', Spataru D. ↓, Kuzimski M. ↑,
75', Banach D. ↓, Kolesar P. ↑,
75', Paprzycki O. ↓, Nowacki D. ↑,
78', Czajkowski P. 🟨,
81', Slomka W. ↓, Bartkowiak B. ↑,
81', Czajkowski P. ↓, Bashlay D. ↑,
89', Szczytniewski S. 🟨,
90+2', Bashlay D. 🟨,
90+2', Sabala V. ↓, Golinski J. ↑,
90+4', Zwozny H. 🟨,
90+6', Nowacki D. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7).

Radunia Stężyca is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Chojniczanka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Radunia Stężyca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Radunia Stężyca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radunia Stężyca
Polish Division 2
30.03.24	Radunia Stężyca - Skra Częstochowa	3:2 ✺
23.03.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Radunia Stężyca	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Radunia Stężyca - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Radunia Stężyca	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Radunia Stężyca - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTTWT
- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Division 2
30.03.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - KKS Kalisz	0:1 ✺
22.03.24	Skra Częstochowa - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.02.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Radunia Stężyca	0:0
Polish Division 2
22.09.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Radunia Stężyca	5:1
27.02.22	Radunia Stężyca - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:3
18.08.21	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Radunia Stężyca	5:1
Club Friendly
21.02.20	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Radunia Stężyca	2:0

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