Match Info

Division 2 - Round 13

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Grudziądzu (Grudziądz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Olimpia Grudziądz		Chojniczanka Chojnice

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.4	2.88
	2.23	3.38	3.07
	2.43	3.18	2.86	Watch
	2.19	3.36	2.9	Watch
	2.07	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.02)	3.32 ↑ (3.2)	3 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Grudziądz
41.7%

Draw
27.7%

Chojniczanka Chojnice
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Grudziądz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Chojniczanka Chojnice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpia Grudziądz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Olimpia Grudziądz - Chojniczanka Chojnice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Sobolewski S. (G) 10. Cichon K. 5. Czajka B. 16. Fietz K. 44. Frelek D. (C) 18. Jarzec K. 7. Kaczmarek T. 9. Mas M. 93. Tsyupa I. 42. Zablonski P. 25. Zbiciak B.	29. Primel D. (C) 23. Araujo Guilherme J. L. 2. Bakowicz M. 22. Bykov O. 24. Eizenchart B. 10. Kaminski D. 79. Kozina M. 34. Nowacki D. 66. Olejnik P. 3. Yukhymovych D. 31. Zywicki J.
Substitutes
33. Budchan E. (G) 3. Klimczak A. . Koncewicz-Zylka P. 72. Koperski F. 11. Krocz S. 13. Moneta L. 69. Pawlowski M.	1. Antkowiak M. (G) 9. Firlej M. 21. Golinski J. 14. Gutowski K. 16. Kacerik A. 15. Lemka D. 8. Shibata S. 7. Szczepanek B. 19. Tkocz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Tsyupa I. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Kaczmarek T. ⚽,
28', Yukhymovych D. 🟨,
31', Kaczmarek T. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Kaminski D. ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zablonski P. ↓, Koperski F. ↑,
62', 🟨,
63', 2 - 1, Kaczmarek T. ⚽,
67', Kaminski D. ↓, Lemka D. ↑,
67', Eizenchart B. ↓, Tkocz M. ↑,
67', Zywicki J. ↓, Shibata S. ↑,
78', Araujo Guilherme J. L. ↓, Szczepanek B. ↑,
82', Frelek D. 🟥,
82', Frelek D. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 1.

Olimpia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chojniczanka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Olimpia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Olimpia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.5:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Grudziądz - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44.2%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 2
11.10.25	Warta Poznań - Olimpia Grudziądz	3:2 ✺
05.10.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Sokół Kleczew	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	KKS Kalisz - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:3 ✺
Polish Cup
23.09.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 2
20.09.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - GKS Jastrzębie	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW
- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Division 2
05.10.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:3 ✺
27.09.25	Swit Skolwin - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Beskid Andrychów - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:3 ✺
Polish Division 2
20.09.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Śląsk Wrocław 2	2:4 ✺
17.09.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Sokół Kleczew	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
07.06.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Olimpia Grudziądz	4:1
Club Friendly
01.02.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:0
Polish Division 2
09.11.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:1
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:2
Polish Division 2
10.03.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:1
Club Friendly
27.01.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:4
Polish Division 2
26.08.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1

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