Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Vigor Lamezia		Ragusa

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.92	3.2
	2.11	2.94	3.45
	2.12	3.26	3.18	Watch
	2.14	2.92	3.42
	2.13	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.09)	3.05 ↓ (3.25)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vigor Lamezia
42.6%

Draw
29.8%

Ragusa
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

26.1%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vigor Lamezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Ragusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ragusa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Vigor Lamezia - Ragusa Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vigor Lamezia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vigor Lamezia: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vigor Lamezia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 3 - 0, ⚽,
72', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Vigor Lamezia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ragusa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vigor Lamezia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vigor Lamezia
Italian Serie D - Group I
02.11.25	Castrumfavara - Vigor Lamezia	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Vigor Lamezia - Gelbison Cilento	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Reggina - Vigor Lamezia	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Vigor Lamezia - Nissa	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Vigor Lamezia - Sambiase	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 TLWLT
- Ragusa Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
02.11.25	Vibonese - Ragusa	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Ragusa - Milazzo	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Castrumfavara - Ragusa	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Ragusa - Gelbison Cilento	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Reggina - Ragusa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLTL

Vigor Lamezia - Ragusa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide