Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 29

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy)

Referee: Wilson L. (Sco)


	Raith Rovers		Cove Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.68	3.75	4.33
	1.67	3.75	4.5
	1.79	3.55	3.9
	1.71	3.95	4.75
	1.67	3.5	4.6	Watch
	1.67	3.84	4.65	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.08)	3.71 ↑ (3.28)	4.39 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raith Rovers
54.2%

Draw
24.8%

Cove Rangers
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

27.5%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

26.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raith Rovers's performance.

Cove Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cove Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Raith Rovers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cove Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Raith Rovers - Cove Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Raith will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Cove will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raith: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Raith won 2.

Recent matches Raith is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cove has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Raith could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Raith is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Raith won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Raith won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raith Rovers
Scottish Cup
12.03.23	Glasgow Rangers - Raith Rovers	3:0 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
04.03.23	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	3:0 ✺
24.02.23	Raith Rovers - Ayr United	0:0 ✺
17.02.23	Queens Park - Raith Rovers	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
11.02.23	Raith Rovers - Motherwell	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLTTW
- Cove Rangers
Scottish Football Championship
10.03.23	Queens Park - Cove Rangers	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Cove Rangers - Dundee	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Greenock Morton - Cove Rangers	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Cove Rangers - Arbroath	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Dundee - Cove Rangers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
14.01.23	Cove Rangers - Raith Rovers	2:2
08.10.22	Raith Rovers - Cove Rangers	3:0
Scottish Challenge Cup
24.09.22	Cove Rangers - Raith Rovers	0:1
Scottish Football Championship
30.07.22	Cove Rangers - Raith Rovers	2:0
Scottish League Cup
27.07.19	Cove Rangers - Raith Rovers	3:0
28.07.18	Cove Rangers - Raith Rovers	2:0
15.07.16	Cove Rangers - Raith Rovers	1:2

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