Match Info

SCOTLAND: League One - Round 23

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Balmoral Stadium (Aberdeen)


	Cove Rangers		Arbroath

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.55
	2.4	3.2	2.55
	2.46	3.15	2.55
	2.52	3.32	2.72
	2.53	3.36	2.68
	2.5	3.3	2.7
	2.53	3.41	2.63	Watch
	2.46	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.43)	3.27 ↓ (3.4)	2.62 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cove Rangers
37%

Draw
28%

Arbroath
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

26.9%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

26.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cove Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Cove Rangers - Arbroath Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Suman N. (G) 15. Darge A. 3. Doyle M. 22. Emslie A. 24. Fyvie F. (C) 10. Glass D. 7. Harrington R. 18. Lobban D. 17. Marshall F. 9. Megginson M. 4. Scully C.	21. McAdams A. (G) 11. Dow R. 20. Flynn R. 22. Murray I. 5. O'Brien T. (C) 6. Stanton S. 2. Steele A. 12. Stewart S. 14. Taylor F. 4. Wilkie J. 25. Winter A.
Substitutes
21. Demus B. (G) 20. Gaffney M. 11. McGrath G. 2. Murray F. 5. Yule B.	7. Gold D. 19. King B. 31. Mcconnell J. (G) . McKechnie K. 32. Spalding A. 15. Watson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Winter A. ⚽, Wilkie J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', Marshall F. ↓, Yule B. ↑,
65', Murray I. ↓, McKechnie K. ↑,
71', Flynn R. ↓, Gold D. ↑,
78', Glass D. ↓, Gaffney M. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Megginson M. ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, Harrington R. ⚽,
88', Gaffney M. 🟨,
89', Dow R. ↓, King B. ↑,
89', Taylor F. ↓, Spalding A. ↑,
90', Winter A. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cove won 1.

Cove is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Arbroath is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arbroath could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cove won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Cove won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Cove Rangers - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.67%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cove Rangers
Scottish League One
25.01.25	Stenhousemuir - Cove Rangers	0:4 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Cove Rangers - Forfar Athletic	2:0 ✺
Scottish League One
04.01.25	Queen of the South - Cove Rangers	1:0 ✺
28.12.24	Inverness - Cove Rangers	1:4 ✺
21.12.24	Cove Rangers - Alloa Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLWW
- Arbroath
Scottish League One
04.01.25	Arbroath - Alloa Athletic	1:3 ✺
28.12.24	Arbroath - Montrose	3:0 ✺
21.12.24	Annan Athletic - Arbroath	0:4 ✺
17.12.24	Kelty Hearts - Arbroath	3:2 ✺
14.12.24	Inverness - Arbroath	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
16.11.24	Arbroath - Cove Rangers	2:1
28.09.24	Cove Rangers - Arbroath	2:4
Scottish Football Championship
22.04.23	Arbroath - Cove Rangers	0:1
18.02.23	Cove Rangers - Arbroath	1:1
12.11.22	Arbroath - Cove Rangers	1:1
01.10.22	Cove Rangers - Arbroath	2:0

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