Match Info

SCOTLAND: SCOTTISH CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)


	Raith Rovers		Motherwell

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.83
	3.5	3.3	1.9
	3.35	3.3	2.04
	3.59	3.68	1.89
	3.68	3.6	1.97
	3.6	3.5	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.52)	3.48 ↑ (3.3)	1.93 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raith Rovers
25.9%

Draw
26.4%

Motherwell
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

27.6%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

24.6%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Raith Rovers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motherwell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Raith Rovers - Motherwell Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Raith will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Motherwell will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raith: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Raith is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Motherwell is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Raith could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Raith have a series of guest games.

Motherwell will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raith Rovers
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.02.23	Dundee - Raith Rovers	2:3 penalties ✺
Scottish Football Championship
04.02.23	Arbroath - Raith Rovers	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Raith Rovers - Inverness	2:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
24.01.23	Linlithgow Rose - Raith Rovers	0:2 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
14.01.23	Cove Rangers - Raith Rovers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWTWT
- Motherwell FC
Scottish Premier League
04.02.23	Aberdeen - Motherwell	3:1 ✺
01.02.23	Motherwell - St. Johnstone	0:2 ✺
28.01.23	St. Mirren - Motherwell	1:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
21.01.23	Arbroath - Motherwell	0:2 ✺
Scottish Premier League
14.01.23	Motherwell - Ross County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.07.12	Raith Rovers - Motherwell	N/A

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