Match Info

AFRICA: CAF Champions League - Round 4

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Larbi Zaouli (Casablanca)

Referee: Bouh A. (Mrt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Variety 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	beIN Connect
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Morocco	Arryadia 3, SNRT Live, Tamazight TV
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV5
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
South-africa	SABC 1, SABC Plus, SABC Sport
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Usa	beIN Connect
World	Fanatiz


	Raja Casablanca		Mamelodi Sundowns

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.88	3	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.85
	2.5	2.9	3	Watch
	3.02	2.84	2.58	Watch
	2.5	2.75	2.9
	2.47	2.92	2.99	Watch
	2.5	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.5)	2.86 ↑ (2.8)	2.9 (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

Watch this match and CAF Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 8

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Current Win Probability

Raja Casablanca
36%

Draw
32.3%

Mamelodi Sundowns
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

32.4%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

33.4%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raja Casablanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raja Casablanca than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	25%	41.7%

Raja Casablanca - Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Raja Casablanca will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mamelodi Sundowns: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zniti A. (G) 27. Boulacsou M. 16. Benamar B. 5. Khafifi A. 17. Belammari Y. 34. Bougrine S. 18. Bikoro F. 19. Zrida M. 10. Ennaffati A. 40. Najjari Y. 11. Zerhouni N.	30. Williams R. (C) 15. Aubaas B. J. 20. Kekana G. 29. Lunga D. 2. Khoza M. 4. Mokoena T. 11. Allende M. 17. Matthews T. 25. Mudau K. 13. Rayners I. 10. Ribeiro L.
Substitutes
22. Al Harrar E. M. (G) 24. Al-Maamouri A. 28. Arrassi B. 23. Balde Y. 8. Ferdaoussi H. 6. Mouhsine B. 9. Rahimi E. H. 29. Soussi A. 20. Zila M.	9. Arthur Sales 5. Lebusa M. 43. Lethlaku K. 3. Lorch T. 21. Mkhulise S. 6. Modiba A. 27. Morena T. 1. Onyango D. (G) 38. Shalulile P.
Coaches
Abdessadek H.	Mngqithi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Zrida M. 🟨,
6', Ribeiro L. 🟨,
20', Bikoro F. 🟨,
40', Aubaas B. J. 🟥,
45+2', 1 - 0, Benamar B. ⚽, Belammari Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Balde Y. 🟨,
51', Najjari Y. 🟨,
53', Matthews T. ↓, Lebusa M. ↑,
57', Bikoro F. ↓, Al-Maamouri A. ↑,
57', Najjari Y. ↓, Mouhsine B. ↑,
65', Rayners I. 🟨,
75', Ennaffati A. ↓, Zila M. ↑,
75', Zrida M. ↓, Ferdaoussi H. ↑,
78', Lunga D. ↓, Modiba A. ↑,
78', Ribeiro L. ↓, Morena T. ↑,
80', Zila M. 🟨,
80', Zila M. 🟨,
87', Allende M. ↓, Lorch T. ↑,
87', Khoza M. ↓, Shalulile P. ↑,
87', Belammari Y. ↓, Arrassi B. ↑,
90+5', Mudau K. 🟥,

Preview

Recent matches Raja Casablanca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mamelodi Sundowns in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mamelodi Sundowns could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Mamelodi Sundowns have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Raja Casablanca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raja Casablanca
Moroccan Botola
29.12.24	Berkane - Raja Casablanca	2:0 ✺
25.12.24	Difaa El Jadida - Raja Casablanca	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Raja Casablanca - Chabab Mohammedia	3:0 ✺
19.12.24	Raja Casablanca - Union de Touarga	2:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
15.12.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Raja Casablanca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWL
- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Premier Soccer League
28.12.24	Richards Bay - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2 ✺
24.12.24	AmaZulu - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
18.12.24	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
15.12.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Raja Casablanca	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	FAR Rabat - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

CAF Champions League
15.12.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Raja Casablanca	1:0

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