Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Raków Częstochowa II		Sparta Katowice

	1	X	2
	3.70	3.70	1.73
	3.35	3.45	1.87
	3.60	4.09	1.74
	3.28	3.82	1.9	Watch
	3.35	4.00	1.72
	3.91	4.12	1.72	Watch
	2.77	3.37	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.77)	3.79 ↑ (3.37)	1.83 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa II
26.5%

Draw
23.9%

Sparta Katowice
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

26.3%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

25.6%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Raków Częstochowa II's form might have worsened.

Sparta Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sparta Katowice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa II than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Katowice than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sparta Katowice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Raków Częstochowa II - Sparta Katowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Dziedzinski R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Michalski M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Recent performances by Raków II have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sparta Katowice is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Sparta Katowice has had a series of home games.

Sparta Katowice could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	BKS Sparta Katowice	11	7	3	1	19:7	12	24
16	Rakow II	9	2	3	4	12:17	-5	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa II
Polish Division 3 - Group III
05.09.26	Ślęza Wrocław - Raków Częstochowa II	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Raków Częstochowa II - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Stal Brzeg - Raków Częstochowa II	3:0 ✺
19.08.26	Raków Częstochowa II - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	1:4 ✺
16.08.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Raków Częstochowa II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTLLT
- Sparta Katowice
Polish Division 3 - Group III
05.09.26	Sparta Katowice - Polonia Nysa	4:0 ✺
29.08.26	Sparta Katowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Sparta Katowice - Ślęza Wrocław	3:0 ✺
19.08.26	Sparta Katowice - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Sparta Katowice - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW

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