Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 26 July 2023, Wednesday

Location: Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków (Częstochowa)

Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Eleven Sports 2


	Raków Częstochowa		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	4	Watch
	2	3.25	3.9
	2	3.3	3.9
	2.01	3.3	3.8
	2.01	3.32	4.23
	1.91	3	3.7
	1.98	3.3	4	Watch
	2.04	3.35	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.1)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	3.92 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
47.3%

Draw
28.8%

Qarabağ Agdam
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

29.3%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

30.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	15.2%	2.2%

Raków Częstochowa - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Users Predictions: Raków Częstochowa will win (38 of 46 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.66% – 93.56%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacevic V. (G) 25. Racovitan B. 24. Arsenic Z. (C) 4. Svarnas S. 7. Tudor F. 66. Papanikolaou G. 8. Lederman B. 20. Silva J. 30. Kochergin V. 9. Zwolinski L. 77. Cebula M.	1. Mahammadaliyev S. (C) 27. Bayramov T. 13. Mustafazada B. 81. Medina K. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 6. Romao J. 8. Jankovic M. 15. Leandro Andrade 7. Benzia Y. 10. Zoubir A. 19. Xhixha R.
Substitutes
5. Berggren G. 89. Bieszczad K. (G) 6. Czyz S. 93. Kittel S. 27. Nowak B. 99. Piasecki F. 22. Sorescu D. 17. Wdowiak M. 11. Yeboah J.	90. Akhundzade N. 66. Andrade P. 11. Diakhaby A. 23. Gugeshashvili L. (G) 55. Huseynov B. 17. Keyta H. 4. Mammadov R. 5. Medvedev M. 83. Quliyev N. 89. Ramazanov A. (G) 20. Richard Almeyda
Coaches
Szwarga D.	Gurbanov G.

Preview

1st leg.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Qarabağ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Raków have a series of home games.

Recently Qarabağ have a series of guest games.

Raków will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Raków won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Raków won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.07.23	Raków Częstochowa - Jagiellonia Białystok	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.07.23	Flora Tallinn - Raków Częstochowa	0:3 ✺
Polish Super Cup
15.07.23	Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw	0:1 penalties ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.07.23	Raków Częstochowa - Flora Tallinn	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.23	Raków Częstochowa - Universitatea Cluj	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWW
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
UEFA Champions League
19.07.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Lincoln Red Imps	4:0 ✺
11.07.23	Lincoln Red Imps - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.23	CSKA Sofia - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Legia Warsaw - Qarabağ Agdam	2:0 ✺
27.06.23	Ferencvárosi - Qarabağ Agdam	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.01.23	Raków Częstochowa - Qarabağ Agdam	3:0

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