Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 14

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico (Montevideo)


	Rampla Juniors		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.85	2.15
	3.3	2.92	2.15
	3.37	2.96	2.29
	3.13	2.98	2.38	Watch
	3.31	2.97	2.17
	2.63	3.1	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.61)	2.96 ↓ (3.05)	2.3 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rampla Juniors
29%

Draw
31%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

29.9%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

29.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rampla Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rampla Juniors's form might have worsened.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rampla Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rampla Juniors won 2.

Rampla Juniors has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Fenix has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fenix may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fenix is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Rampla Juniors won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rampla Juniors won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.04%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Segunda Division
02.08.25	Artigas - Rampla Juniors	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Rampla Juniors - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Central Español - Rampla Juniors	4:1 ✺
12.07.25	Rampla Juniors - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Rentistas - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLTL
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.08.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Central Español	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Tacuarembó - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rentistas	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	La Luz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.05.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:1
27.04.25	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.10.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:0
30.03.24	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0
05.12.19	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1
14.07.19	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:0
01.06.19	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	3:1

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