The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atenas de San Carlos 32.2%
Draw 29.9%
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 37.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.2%
28.8%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.2%
25.8%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atenas de San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atenas de San Carlos's performance.
Atletico Fenix Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atletico Fenix Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Atenas de San Carlos - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
36', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura: ) and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 2.
Atenas has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Fenix is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Fenix could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Fenix holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Atenas has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:12 (averaging 1.6:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atenas against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:5 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Atenas
24
13
5
6
35:22
13
44
10
Fenix
24
7
9
8
27:29
-2
30
Last Results with these Odds
Atenas de San Carlos - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 26.22%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Atletico Fenix Montevideo - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 45.02%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
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