Match Info

Segunda Division - Torneo Competencia - Round 7

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Atenas de San Carlos		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.88	2.48
	2.98	3	2.53
	2.84	3.07	2.55	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.4
	2.94	3.16	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.69)	3 ↑ (2.76)	2.48 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atenas de San Carlos
32.1%

Draw
30.7%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

32.8%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

34.9%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atenas de San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atletico Fenix Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Atenas de San Carlos - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fenix will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, de Marco S. ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, de Marco S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 3, ⚽,
64', 0 - 4, ⚽,
67', 🟥,
78', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 3.

Atenas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Fenix has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atenas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atenas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atenas	21	12	4	5	30:18	12	40
7	Fenix	21	7	8	6	27:24	3	29

Last Results with these Odds

Atenas de San Carlos - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 33.72%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.04.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	La Luz - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Cerrito - Atenas de San Carlos	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLT
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.04.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerrito	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	3:2 ✺
22.03.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.10.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2
03.08.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.10.18	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1
22.04.18	Atenas de San Carlos - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:1
11.04.15	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	3:2
05.10.14	Atenas de San Carlos - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	3:0

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