Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 12

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rampla Juniors		Atenas de San Carlos

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.9	2.1
	3.5	2.92	2.08
	3.69	2.97	2.1
	3.56	2.94	2.20	Watch
	3.4	2.9	2.15
	3.64	2.93	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.92)	2.93 ↓ (3.1)	2.12 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rampla Juniors
25.9%

Draw
31.1%

Atenas de San Carlos
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.3%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

28.2%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rampla Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rampla Juniors's form might have worsened.

Atenas de San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Rampla Juniors - Atenas de San Carlos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Rinaldi L. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Vera D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 1 - 2, Da Rocha A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rampla Juniors won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Atenas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Rampla Juniors won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:15. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rampla Juniors won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Rampla Juniors - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.08%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.07.25	Central Español - Rampla Juniors	4:1 ✺
12.07.25	Rampla Juniors - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Rentistas - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Rampla Juniors - La Luz	4:0 ✺
21.06.25	Cerrito - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLWL
- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.07.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Artigas	1:1 ✺
14.07.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Central Español	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Tacuarembó - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Rentistas	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	La Luz - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.10.23	Rampla Juniors - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0
20.05.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Rampla Juniors	1:2
19.03.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Rampla Juniors	0:1
29.08.22	Atenas de San Carlos - Rampla Juniors	1:1
05.06.22	Rampla Juniors - Atenas de San Carlos	0:3
15.09.21	Rampla Juniors - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1
03.06.21	Atenas de San Carlos - Rampla Juniors	1:1

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