The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Española 44.6%
Draw 27.4%
Deportes Recoleta 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.1%
25.6%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
24.7%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Española's form might have worsened.
Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Española, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Recoleta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Unión Española - Deportes Recoleta Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Española (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Unión Española will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Fierro J. (G) 2. Contreras K. 21. Pereira S. 3. Alarcon R. 32. Molina L. 14. Nunez I. 17. Massri F. 23. Ojeda U. 20. Wassenne M. 9. Vilches Araneda A. 10. Aranguiz P. (C)
22. Vargas J. (G) 4. Tomarelli F. 14. Lara I. 28. Rodriguez C. 5. Alarcon F. (C) 7. Provoste B. 10. Arguinarena M. 17. Carvajal N. 20. Gonzalez C. 27. Flores F. 33. Riveros R.
Substitutes
33. Jaramillo C. 6. Jauregui B. 5. Machado W. 24. Norambuena G. 8. Rubio P. 12. Uribe E. (G) 7. Vasquez R.
21. Alvarez G. 3. Arismendy N. 15. Baez F. 23. Salazar A. (G) 19. Sanchez P. 16. Viveros B. 11. Viveros D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Tomarelli F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Wassenne M. ⚽,
52', 1 - 1, Riveros R. ⚽,
56', Ojeda U. 🟨,
57', Riveros R. 🟨,
58', Ojeda U. ↓, Rubio P. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Vilches Araneda A. ⚽,
66', Flores F. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
66', Arguinarena M. ↓, Sanchez P. ↑,
70', Provoste B. 🟨,
78', Aranguiz P. ↓, Machado W. ↑,
78', Rodriguez C. ↓, Viveros D. ↑,
79', Rubio P. 🟨,
80', Nunez I. ↓, Jauregui B. ↑,
81', Provoste B. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).
Unión Española is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Recoleta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Unión Española will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Unión Española won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Recoleta
26
11
8
7
38:34
4
41
9
U. Espanola
26
10
6
10
32:34
-2
36
Last Results with these Odds
Unión Española - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.06%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Fierro J. (G) 
Massri F. 
Ojeda U. 
Machado W. 
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