Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 5

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Fiscal de Talca (Talca)


	Rangers de Talca		Huachipato

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	3.1
	2.15	3.25	2.85
	2.26	3.35	2.95
	2.27	3.37	3.06	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.26	3.26	3.12
	2.26	3.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.69)	3.28 ↑ (3.26)	2.99 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rangers de Talca
41%

Draw
28.2%

Huachipato
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.3%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

27.9%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rangers de Talca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rangers de Talca's performance.

Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Huachipato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rangers de Talca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huachipato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rangers de Talca - Huachipato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Gamonal Ruiz J. L. (G) 15. Rodriguez C. 14. Acuna S. 3. Sanhueza M. 13. Mora A. 5. Gonzalez M. 8. Leyton S. 18. Lobos C. 17. Ibanez I. 9. Sanchez J. 7. Reyes G.	17. Lopez Z. (G) 2. Guaiquil N. 4. Gazzolo B. (C) 44. Vargas N. 15. Castillo A. 19. Oyarzun D. 22. Carcamo J. 21. Brea 14. Villanueva C. 7. Briceno M. 8. Silva S.
Substitutes
6. Barrientos F. 31. Diaz I. 24. Gomez T. 20. Moya G. 1. Rodriguez G. (G) 2. Toro I. 29. Torres M. (G) 10. Verdugo A.	33. Ampuero B. 39. Bravo Nanco C. M. A. (G) 16. Conelli V. 11. Figueroa J. 28. Gutierrez M. 20. Martinez J. A. 41. Melgarejo S. 3. Mellado B. 27. Velasquez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
34', Reyes G. 🟨,
39', Villanueva C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gazzolo B. ↓, Mellado B. ↑,
50', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
53', Oyarzun D. 🟥,
57', Lobos C. 🟨,
60', Reyes G. ↓, Barrientos F. ↑,
60', Lobos C. ↓, Moya G. ↑,
61', Brea ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
61', Villanueva C. ↓, Martinez J. A. ↑,
61', Briceno M. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
68', Carcamo J. ↓, Conelli V. ↑,
68', Sanchez J. ↓, Diaz I. ↑,
85', Rodriguez C. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
85', Leyton S. ↓, Gomez T. ↑,

Preview

Huachipato is Qualified for Copa Chile (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Recent matches Rangers is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Huachipato is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Huachipato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rangers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rangers de Talca
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.03.25	Santiago Morning - Rangers de Talca	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
24.03.25	Deportes Temuco - Rangers de Talca	3:2 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
15.03.25	Rangers de Talca - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Deportes Copiapó - Rangers de Talca	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Rangers de Talca - San Luis de Quillota	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLTLT
- CD Huachipato
Chilean Primera Division
30.03.25	Huachipato - Deportes La Serena	3:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
21.03.25	Huachipato - OHiggins	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.03.25	Deportes Limache - Huachipato	2:3 ✺
07.03.25	Unión La Calera - Huachipato	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Huachipato - Colo-Colo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
02.02.25	Huachipato - Rangers de Talca	2:0

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