The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Huachipato 47.6%
Draw 28.3%
Deportes La Serena 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.2%
26.3%
21.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.4%
25.7%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huachipato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Huachipato - Deportes La Serena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Odriozola R. (G) 5. Caroca R. 26. Diaz L. 28. Gutierrez M. 6. Sepulveda C. 13. Malanca R. 20. Martinez J. A. 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 30. Garrido B. 9. Altamirano L. 23. Martinez C.
12. Cerda F. (G) 2. Zanini A. 4. Rojas J. 26. Dinamarca F. 5. Alarcon L. 6. Diaz S. 14. Chamorro F. 18. Gallegos S. 11. Henriquez A. 22. Ovando L. 29. Jhonatan Kauan
Substitutes
21. Brea 7. Briceno M. 17. Lopez Z. (G) 8. Silva S. 29. Torres Gaete C. G. 14. Villanueva C.
24. Diaz F. 3. Ferreyra N. 7. Jara Gonzalez G. A. 9. Moreira E. 23. Pinto M. 8. Rivera M. 1. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G)
Coaches
Garcia J.
Duran E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Vargas J. ⚽, Chamorro F. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Altamirano L. (Pen),
18', Rojas J. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gutierrez M. ↓, Briceno M. ↑,
62', Garrido B. ↓, Torres Gaete C. G. ↑,
62', Martinez C. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Briceno M. ⚽,
70', Vargas J. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
70', Chamorro F. ↓, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↑,
70', Moreira E. ↓, Ovando L. ↑,
73', Diaz L. 🟨,
76', Martinez J. A. ↓, Silva S. ↑,
82', Diaz S. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
83', Diaz L. ↓, Vargas N. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Torres Gaete C. G. ⚽, Briceno M. (A),
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Huachipato won 1.
Huachipato is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Deportes La Serena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Deportes La Serena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Huachipato will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Huachipato won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Huachipato won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).
Watch
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Odriozola R. (G) 
Caroca R. 
Malanca R. 
Martinez C. 
Jhonatan Kauan 
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