Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 5

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza (Limache)

Referee: Salvo M. (Chi)


	Deportes Limache		Huachipato

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3
	2.08	3.55	3.25	Watch
	2.14	3.7	3.3
	2.05	3.6	3.36	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.15	3.58	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.22)	3.5 ↑ (3.34)	3.23 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Limache
44.2%

Draw
26.7%

Huachipato
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Deportes Limache - Huachipato Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Limache will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Huachipato will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borquez M. (G) 2. Aguirre A. 24. Parot A. (C) 23. Gonzalez Y. 8. Montecinos J. 27. Ramon Martinez 21. Moya F. 4. Flores M. 16. Jean David 9. Sosa G. 19. Castro D.	25. Odriozola R. (G) 14. Vargas N. 5. Caroca R. 13. Malanca R. 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 8. Silva S. 27. Velasquez L. 30. Altez K. 15. Rodriguez M. 9. Altamirano L.
Substitutes
5. Alfonzo A. 15. Alvarez V. 26. Arturia M. 20. Catalan D. 6. Fuentes C. 17. Gonzalez C. (G) 25. Llanten M. 11. Marin F. 7. Morales C.	26. Antinirre H. 16. Arriagada L. 7. Briceno M. 10. Canete E. 22. Carcamo J. 23. Martinez C. 1. Mella S. (G) 20. Toro C. 29. Torres Gaete C. G.
Coaches
Rivero V.	Garcia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Jean David ⚽, Moya F. (A),
43', Moya F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Velasquez L. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
46', Altez K. ↓, Canete E. ↑,
46', Moya F. ↓, Llanten M. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Gonzalez Y. ⚽,
60', Silva S. ↓, Torres Gaete C. G. ↑,
60', Altamirano L. ↓, Briceno M. ↑,
62', Montecinos J. ↓, Alfonzo A. ↑,
74', Leon Munoz M. A. ↓, Arriagada L. ↑,
76', Sosa G. ↓, Arturia M. ↑,
84', Castro D. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
84', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Alvarez V. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Alvarez V. ⚽, Arturia M. (A),
90+2', Odriozola R. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Huachipato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Limache might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Limache won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Limache won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Huachipato	24	10	4	10	34:39	-5	34
7	Limache	23	10	3	10	43:35	8	33

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Limache - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.08%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Limache
Chilean Primera Division
22.02.26	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Limache	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Deportes Limache - OHiggins	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Ñublense - Deportes Limache	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Deportes Limache - Colo-Colo	3:1 ✺
Chilean Super Cup
21.01.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Limache	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TWTWL
- CD Huachipato
Copa Libertadores
24.02.26	Huachipato - Carabobo	1:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
21.02.26	Huachipato - Palestino	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.02.26	Carabobo - Huachipato	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.02.26	Everton de Viña - Huachipato	0:3 ✺
08.02.26	Huachipato - Universidad de Chile	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
10.12.25	Huachipato - Deportes Limache	2:1 penalties
Chilean Primera Division
17.08.25	Huachipato - Deportes Limache	4:0
14.03.25	Deportes Limache - Huachipato	2:3

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