The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rangers de Talca 51%
Draw 26.4%
Unión San Felipe 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.7%
26.1%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
25.4%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rangers de Talca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 16th in the Relegation - Segunda Division and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rangers won 3.
Rangers has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Unión San Felipe is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Unión San Felipe may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Unión San Felipe has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Rangers for this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Rangers has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:17 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rangers against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 9:7 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
San Felipe
26
5
7
14
16:44
-28
22
16
Rangers
26
4
6
16
23:42
-19
18
Last Results with these Odds
Unión San Felipe - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 22.25%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.