The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión San Felipe 28%
Draw 29.7%
Deportes Santa Cruz 42.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
28.4%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
27.2%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión San Felipe's form might have worsened.
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Santa Cruz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión San Felipe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Santa Cruz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unión San Felipe - Deportes Santa Cruz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Canete L. (G) 4. Ramirez M. 34. Suarez C. (C) 2. Perales V. 5. Bravo D. 27. Garcia L. 24. Galleguillos M. 33. Gonzalez B. 10. Jara Gonzalez G. A. 18. Munoz P. 9. Aravena B.
29. Dobboletta J. (G) 2. Quiroz I. 5. Camisassa B. 19. Flores E. 22. Tati D. 31. Romero N. 4. Alucema G. 14. Plaza D. 11. Pinto M. 9. Zeineddin N. 23. Barrios N.
Substitutes
17. Diaz R. 1. Fernandez A. (G) 20. Fontana A. 16. Fuentes D. 6. Leon A. 29. Martinez L. 23. Vides B.
12. Alvarado F. 35. Brito P. 20. Cavero H. 10. Mederos S. 26. Moreno C. 6. Orellana F. 28. Quezada M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Quiroz I. ↓, Brito P. ↑,
59', Munoz P. ↓, Fontana A. ↑,
64', Barrios N. ↓, Alvarado F. ↑,
64', Pinto M. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
71', Gonzalez B. ↓, Leon A. ↑,
71', Galleguillos M. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
84', Alvarado F. ↓, Cavero H. ↑,
84', Aravena B. ↓, Vides B. ↑,
90+3', Alucema G. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 2.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión San Felipe won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.1:0.4).
Chile
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Canete L. (G) 
Perales V. 
Mederos S. 
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