Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 26

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: EXTRA Arena (Trondheim)

Referee: Berg M. (Nor)


	Ranheim		Jerv

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	4	Watch
	1.83	3.9	3.4
	1.87	4	3.6	Watch
	1.85	4.16	3.74
	1.8	3.9	3.4
	1.85	4.1	3.62
	1.86	3.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.04)	3.94 ↑ (3.72)	3.61 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ranheim
50.5%

Draw
23.6%

Jerv
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

25%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

24.8%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ranheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ranheim than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Ranheim - Jerv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lenes M. (G) 16. Qvigstad L. 4. Skuseth N. 2. Rismark Ch. (C) 5. Haugen S. 14. Johnsrud M. 21. Pedersen M. 8. Alte R. 10. Saeter J. 24. Gangstad H. 20. Gunnes A.	20. Ovretveit O. (G) 21. van der Sluys D. 4. Mutsinzi A. 5. Sandberg E. 29. Coly A. 15. Brenden E. 6. Wichmann M. (C) 8. Ugland M. 7. Hauge R. 17. Diabate B. 11. Robalo Pedro S. L.
Substitutes
9. Bye B. 19. Gaustad D. 25. Holden O. K. 22. Jacobsen Prestmo S. 18. Kvithyld B. 17. Nordli J. 11. Solli S. 6. Tromsdal J. 12. Venn F. (G)	26. Dirdal G. (G) 25. Endresen A. 10. Fernandes L. 16. Krogelien H. 24. Myklebust J. 27. Philibert E. 2. Wichne T.
Coaches
Ingebrigtsen K.	Kjono E.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ranheim won 3.

Ranheim is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jerv has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ranheim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ranheim will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Ranheim won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Ranheim won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ranheim IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
01.10.23	Åsane - Ranheim	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Ranheim - Fredrikstad	1:2 ✺
15.09.23	Ranheim - Raufoss	1:3 ✺
02.09.23	Sogndal - Ranheim	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Ranheim - Start	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWT
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.09.23	Jerv - Sogndal	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	Hødd - Jerv	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Jerv - Start	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Jerv	6:2 ✺
27.08.23	Jerv - Bryne	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.04.23	Jerv - Ranheim	1:2
16.10.21	Jerv - Ranheim	2:1
21.07.21	Ranheim - Jerv	3:4
04.11.20	Ranheim - Jerv	5:0
27.08.20	Jerv - Ranheim	1:6
29.10.17	Ranheim - Jerv	3:1
09.04.17	Jerv - Ranheim	1:2

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