Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 25

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr (Grimstad)

Referee: Valen O. (Nor)


	Jerv		Sogndal

	1	X	2
	3.25	4.2	2	Watch
	2.9	3.7	2.05
	3.1	4	2.05
	3.23	4.01	2.05
	2.9	3.75	2
	3.2	3.96	2.01
	2.95	3.75	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.82)	3.91 ↑ (3.64)	2.03 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerv
30.3%

Draw
23.8%

Sogndal
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

25.2%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

24.9%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Sogndal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jerv - Sogndal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jerv will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sogndal will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Ovretveit O. (G) 2. Wichne T. 4. Mutsinzi A. 5. Sandberg E. 29. Coly A. 15. Brenden E. 6. Wichmann M. (C) 10. Fernandes L. 7. Hauge R. 17. Diabate B. 11. Robalo Pedro S. L.	1. Fij R. (G) 11. Hoven A. 4. Arrocha D. 13. Flo P. (C) 17. Sjolstad M. 10. Skaanes K. 20. Twum I. 15. Nesso K. 31. Nundal J. 8. Ingimundarson V. 27. Orjasaeter S.
Substitutes
26. Dirdal G. (G) 88. Duesund E. 25. Endresen A. 16. Krogelien H. 24. Myklebust J. 27. Philibert E. 8. Ugland M. 21. van der Sluys D.	77. Borgborsson O. 30. Flataker E. 7. Jonsson J. 37. Konstali J. 23. Nord A. 29. Steinset K. 21. Sundling J. (G)
Coaches
Kjono E.	Flo T.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jerv won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Sogndal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Jerv won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Jerv won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jerv
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.09.23	Hødd - Jerv	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Jerv - Start	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Jerv	6:2 ✺
27.08.23	Jerv - Bryne	1:3 ✺
23.08.23	Mjøndalen - Jerv	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLLT
- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.09.23	Sogndal - Åsane	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Fredrikstad - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Sogndal - Ranheim	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Sogndal - Skeid	2:0 ✺
23.08.23	Raufoss - Sogndal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
08.07.23	Sogndal - Jerv	5:1
02.10.21	Sogndal - Jerv	1:1
02.07.21	Jerv - Sogndal	1:0
28.10.20	Sogndal - Jerv	1:0
14.09.20	Jerv - Sogndal	0:3
20.10.19	Sogndal - Jerv	4:0
28.07.19	Jerv - Sogndal	1:1

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