Match Info

2. Liga - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Allianz Stadion (Vienna)

Referee: Greinecker M. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Rapid Wien II		Kapfenberger SV

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.45
	2.48	3.65	2.45
	2.92	3.91	2.21
	2.58	3.58	2.49	Watch
	2.51	3.64	2.46	Watch
	2.4	3.65	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.48)	3.66 ↓ (3.72)	2.42 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapid Wien II
36.3%

Draw
25.4%

Kapfenberger SV
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

25.2%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

25%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rapid Wien II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Kapfenberger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapid Wien II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapfenberger SV than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Rapid Wien II - Kapfenberger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rapid II will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Kapfenberg will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kapfenberg: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Kapfenberg (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kapfenberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Orgler L. (G) 2. Roka E. 4. Brunnhofer J. 28. Szladits L. 27. Velimirovic D. (C) 33. Stehrer E. 22. Music E. 47. Groller A. 8. Thiero O. 21. Berger D. 23. Haidara M.	1. Strebinger R. (G) 2. Lagundzic I. 33. N'Zi O. 19. Turi J. 17. Littig R. 9. Kadlec M. 14. Pranjkovic M. 5. Miskovic M. (C) 23. Hassler L. 11. Toure L. 71. Maier T.
Substitutes
17. Badarneh O. 1. Haas C. (G) 35. Hadzimuratovic A. 11. Mankan Y. 5. Muharemovic K. 20. Nunoo D. 7. Strunz O.	8. Berg M. 12. Colic V. (G) 37. Hofer M. 34. Kavaz F. 16. Marinovic A. 28. Mikulic N. 18. Rostas J.
Coaches
Kerber J.	Grgic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Roka E. ↓, Badarneh O. ↑,
32', Miskovic M. 🟨,
38', Stehrer E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Groller A. ↓, Hadzimuratovic A. ↑,
46', Berger D. ↓, Strunz O. ↑,
52', Haidara M. 🟨,
68', Hadzimuratovic A. 🟨,
71', Toure L. ↓, Rostas J. ↑,
74', Music E. ↓, Mankan Y. ↑,
76', Kadlec M. ↓, Marinovic A. ↑,
78', Turi J. 🟨,
84', Haidara M. ↓, Nunoo D. ↑,
84', Lagundzic I. ↓, Hofer M. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Velimirovic D. (Pen),
90+2', Kerber J. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rapid II won 2.

Rapid II has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kapfenberg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rapid II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rapid II won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rapid II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rapid Wien II
Austrian 2 Liga
26.09.25	Floridsdorfer AC - Rapid Wien II	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Rapid Wien II - Admira	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	Amstetten - Rapid Wien II	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Rapid Wien II - St. Pölten	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Rapid Wien II - Austria Wien II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTLLL
- Kapfenberger SV
Austrian 2 Liga
28.09.25	Kapfenberger SV - First Vienna	0:3 ✺
21.09.25	Amstetten - Kapfenberger SV	3:0 ✺
12.09.25	Kapfenberger SV - SPG Wels	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Stripfing - Kapfenberger SV	0:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
26.08.25	Austria Lustenau - Kapfenberger SV	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
21.04.25	Rapid Wien II - Kapfenberger SV	0:2
18.10.24	Kapfenberger SV - Rapid Wien II	2:1
28.04.23	Rapid Wien II - Kapfenberger SV	2:2
07.10.22	Kapfenberger SV - Rapid Wien II	0:2
04.03.22	Kapfenberger SV - Rapid Wien II	1:2
14.08.21	Rapid Wien II - Kapfenberger SV	0:3
07.05.21	Kapfenberger SV - Rapid Wien II	1:1

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