Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Grünfeld (Rapperswil-Jona)


	Rapperswil-Jona		Bavois

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.8	5.75
	1.34	5	6.6
	1.38	4.66	5.86
	1.38	4.98	7.13
	1.29	5.2	7.65
	1.34	5	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)	4.94 ↓ (5.13)	6.6 ↓ (6.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapperswil-Jona
67.7%

Draw
18.5%

Bavois
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

17.9%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

17.3%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rapperswil-Jona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Bavois has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapperswil-Jona than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bavois than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Rapperswil Jona - Bavois Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Omerovic A. (G) 28. Ambassa J. 13. Padula Lenna G. 5. Ajeti Ad. (C) 3. Morgado B. 26. Charveys A. 66. Marchand Y. 8. Saliji R. 70. Schmidt H. 9. Kamberi F. 27. Volkart D.	13. Brenet M. (G) 25. Diallo T. 22. Rodrigues M. 23. Sarr O. 16. Getaz N. 17. Bega I. 6. Mandaka J. 8. Rochat T. 7. Alvarez A. (C) 29. Mobulu R. 24. Ouhafsa A.
Substitutes
1. Grob M. (G) 4. Hasani A. 21. Iapichino D. 19. Nguy-yi N. 96. So S. 11. Wiskemann M. 6. Yesilcayir E.	19. Bajrami L. 27. Clement L. 21. Danner A. 20. Guignard L. 15. Ivanov K. 26. Maniere J. (G) 18. Ribeiro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Mandaka J. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Morgado B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Alvarez A. ↓, Guignard L. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Sarr O. ⚽,
58', Getaz N. 🟨,
59', Rodrigues M. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Saliji R. ⚽,
69', Marchand Y. ↓, Yesilcayir E. ↑,
70', Bega I. ↓, Ivanov K. ↑,
71', Schmidt H. ↓, Wiskemann M. ↑,
71', Mandaka J. ↓, Ribeiro L. ↑,
71', Rochat T. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
74', Ambassa J. 🟨,
80', Guignard L. 🟨,
81', Ouhafsa A. ↓, Clement L. ↑,
87', Kamberi F. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rapperswil won 4.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Bavois may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rapperswil is the clear favorite.

We predict that Rapperswil will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rapperswil won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Rapperswil won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rapperswil-Jona
Swiss Promotion League
17.05.25	Cham - Rapperswil-Jona	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Rapperswil-Jona - Zurich II	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Biel-Bienne - Rapperswil-Jona	0:0 ✺
09.04.25	Rapperswil-Jona - Brühl	5:1 ✺
05.04.25	Breitenrain Bern - Rapperswil-Jona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTWT
- Bavois
Swiss Promotion League
17.05.25	Bavois - Zurich II	3:1 ✺
11.05.25	Biel-Bienne - Bavois	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Bavois - Brühl	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Breitenrain Bern - Bavois	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Bavois - Baden	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
04.05.24	Rapperswil-Jona - Bavois	1:1
28.10.23	Bavois - Rapperswil-Jona	0:2
27.05.23	Bavois - Rapperswil-Jona	1:3
19.11.22	Rapperswil-Jona - Bavois	2:1
28.05.22	Bavois - Rapperswil-Jona	1:3
06.04.22	Rapperswil-Jona - Bavois	0:1
Swiss Cup
14.09.18	Bavois - Rapperswil-Jona	2:3 ET

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