Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 25

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Dragon Solar Park (Ratchaburi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Ratchaburi		Ayutthaya United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.95	4.65
	1.65	4.16	4.8
	1.61	4.14	4.45	Watch
	1.57	3.75	4.5
	1.56	4	4.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.57)	4 ↓ (4.19)	4.63 ↓ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ratchaburi
57.5%

Draw
22.8%

Ayutthaya United
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

22%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

22.1%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ratchaburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ayutthaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Ratchaburi - Ayutthaya United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Pathomakkakul K. (G) 19. Peenagatapho S. 4. Khemdee J. (C) 2. Mutombo G. 5. Ting D. 11. Negueba 16. Jakkuprasat S. 28. Limwannasthian T. 6. Tana 9. Gleyson 89. Rakotoharimalala N.	1. Makemusik W. (G) 5. Changthong A. 6. Wellington Priori 2. Hwang Hyun-Soo (C) 47. Tamma C. 36. Islame Y. 28. Promsomboon N. 88. Baek Sung-Dong 8. Worasut N. 17. Laptrakul C. 22. Pombuppha C.
Substitutes
77. Bolkiah F. 23. Deeromram K. 7. Deni Junior 88. Poomkaew C. 33. Promjan P. 15. Promrak A. 37. Srisuwan K. 8. Suengchitthawon T. 46. Watjanapayon P. (G) 24. Wonggorn J. 97. Wongmeema U. (G) 18. Yoryoei T.	34. Aon-pean V. 23. Biaothungoi P. 7. Bunsan K. 29. Dechmitr S. 10. Diego Carioca 16. Kamkla B. 11. Kasemkulwirai K. 4. Leddel N. 24. Namwech W. 31. Noichernphan A. 39. Pisansub S. (G) 53. Raksongkham C.
Coaches
Srimaka W.	Siriwattanasart J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Mutombo G. (Own goal),
38', Tamma C. 🟨,
45+1', Changthong A. 🟨,
45+3', Wellington Priori 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Limwannasthian T. ↓, Poomkaew C. ↑,
46', Tamma C. ↓, Biaothungoi P. ↑,
46', Jakkuprasat S. ↓, Srisuwan K. ↑,
49', Worasut N. 🟨,
53', Promsomboon N. 🟨,
55', 0 - 2, Laptrakul C. ⚽,
60', Mutombo G. 🟥,
65', Worasut N. ↓, Aon-pean V. ↑,
65', Changthong A. ↓, Leddel N. ↑,
65', Promsomboon N. ↓, Namwech W. ↑,
65', Peenagatapho S. ↓, Deeromram K. ↑,
65', Rakotoharimalala N. ↓, Deni Junior ↑,
77', Tana ↓, Wonggorn J. ↑,
82', Laptrakul C. ↓, Dechmitr S. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Deni Junior ⚽, Gleyson (A),
90+2', Namwech W. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 9).

Ratchaburi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ayutthaya United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ayutthaya United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ratchaburi is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ratchaburi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Ayutthaya Utd	3	2	0	1	4:3	1	6
9	Ratchaburi	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ratchaburi FC
AFC Champions League 2
11.03.26	Ratchaburi - Gamba Osaka	1:2 ET ✺
04.03.26	Gamba Osaka - Ratchaburi	1:1 ✺
Thai League 1
28.02.26	Ratchaburi - Uthai Thani	3:1 ✺
Thai FA Cup
25.02.26	Ayutthaya United - Ratchaburi	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
18.02.26	Persib Bandung - Ratchaburi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWLL
- Ayutthaya United
Thai League 1
07.03.26	Ayutthaya United - Kanchanaburi	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Chonburi - Ayutthaya United	0:1 ✺
Thai FA Cup
25.02.26	Ayutthaya United - Ratchaburi	1:0 ✺
Thai League 1
22.02.26	Ayutthaya United - Pathum United	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Sukhothai - Ayutthaya United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Thai FA Cup
25.02.26	Ayutthaya United - Ratchaburi	1:0
Thai League 1
09.11.25	Ayutthaya United - Ratchaburi	1:3

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