Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Ukraine	Sport 2
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Gamba Osaka		Ratchaburi

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.17	6.3	12.5
	1.23	6.32	13.5
	1.2	6.62	11.35	Watch
	1.2	5.5	12
	1.22	6.44	12.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.35)	6.24 ↑ (6.19)	12.45 ↑ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gamba Osaka
77.5%

Draw
15%

Ratchaburi
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

15.1%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6%

14.6%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gamba Osaka's performance.

Ratchaburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ratchaburi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gamba Osaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ratchaburi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gamba Osaka - Ratchaburi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Gamba Osaka will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 3. Handa R. 5. Miura G. 20. Nakatani S. (C) 21. Hatsuse R. 13. Abe S. 16. Suzuki T. 51. Mitsuta M. 42. Minamino H. 8. Meshino R. 23. Hummet D.	99. Pathomakkakul K. (G) 2. Mutombo G. 27. Curran J. 5. Ting D. 15. Promrak A. 28. Limwannasthian T. 6. Tana 8. Suengchitthawon T. (C) 11. Negueba 7. Deni Junior 9. Gleyson
Substitutes
18. Araki R. (G) 19. Ikegaya G. 15. Kishimoto T. 10. Kurata S. 27. Mito R. 37. Nakatsumi N. 38. Nawata G. 44. Okunuki K. 40. Toyama S. 97. Welton 36. Yamamoto T. 17. Yamashita R.	23. Deeromram K. 16. Jakkuprasat S. 10. Kaewprom J. 4. Khemdee J. 14. Mesa R. 19. Peenagatapho S. 89. Rakotoharimalala N. 37. Srisuwan K. 24. Wonggorn J. 97. Wongmeema U. (G)
Coaches
Wissing J.	Srimaka W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Ting D. ⚽,
36', Limwannasthian T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hatsuse R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
46', Mitsuta M. ↓, Yamashita R. ↑,
68', Limwannasthian T. ↓, Mesa R. ↑,
72', Minamino H. ↓, Nawata G. ↑,
78', Kishimoto T. 🟨,
79', Negueba ↓, Rakotoharimalala N. ↑,
79', Meshino R. ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Nawata G. ⚽, Kishimoto T. (A),
90', Abe S. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
90+6', Curran J. ↓, Peenagatapho S. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Gamba Osaka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ratchaburi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gamba Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gamba Osaka is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Including home match between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League
28.02.26	Gamba Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:2 penalties ✺
22.02.26	Fagiano Okayama - Gamba Osaka	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
19.02.26	Gamba Osaka - Pohang Steelers	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
15.02.26	Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus	0:1 penalties ✺
AFC Champions League 2
12.02.26	Pohang Steelers - Gamba Osaka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLT
- Ratchaburi FC
Thai League 1
28.02.26	Ratchaburi - Uthai Thani	3:1 ✺
Thai FA Cup
25.02.26	Ayutthaya United - Ratchaburi	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
18.02.26	Persib Bandung - Ratchaburi	1:0 ✺
Thai League 1
14.02.26	Ratchaburi - Prachuap	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
11.02.26	Ratchaburi - Persib Bandung	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League 2
11.12.25	Gamba Osaka - Ratchaburi	2:0
02.10.25	Ratchaburi - Gamba Osaka	0:2

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