Match Info

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Rathfriland Rangers		Armagh City

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	3.95
	1.75	3.93	3.83	Watch
	1.69	3.75	3.8
	1.72	3.72	3.87
	1.71	3.85	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.75)	3.81 ↓ (3.94)	3.87 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rathfriland Rangers
52.8%

Draw
23.8%

Armagh City
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

23.4%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

22.8%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rathfriland Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Armagh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rathfriland Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Armagh City aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 15th in the NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 16th in the NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Recently, Armagh has had a run of games away from home.

In this matchup, Rathfriland is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Rathfriland	10	2	0	8	9:22	-13	6
16	Armagh	10	0	5	5	8:16	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rathfriland Rangers
Northern Irish Championship
03.10.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - Rathfriland Rangers	1:3 ✺
25.09.26	Rathfriland Rangers - Warrenpoint Town	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Ards - Rathfriland Rangers	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Rathfriland Rangers - Institute FC	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Glenavon - Rathfriland Rangers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 WLLLL
- Armagh City
Northern Irish Championship
02.10.26	Strabane Athletic - Armagh City	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Armagh City - Dundela	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Loughgall - Armagh City	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Newry City - Armagh City	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	Moyola Park - Armagh City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TLTTL

Rathfriland Rangers - Armagh City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide