Match Info

Date: 7 August 2022, Sunday

Location: NAMMO Stadion (Raufoss)

Referee: Tennoy M. (Nor)


	Raufoss		Stjørdals-Blink

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	5.5
	1.47	4.33	5.75
	1.45	4.5	6
	1.47	4.5	5.4
	1.49	4.81	6.28
	1.42	3.9	6.5
	1.46	4.4	6.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.38)	4.46 ↓ (4.55)	5.97 ↓ (7.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raufoss
63.5%

Draw
20.9%

Stjørdals-Blink
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

20.2%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

19.2%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Stjørdals-Blink has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Raufoss, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjørdals-Blink than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	6.7%	0%

Raufoss - Stjørdals Blink Predictions

Users Predictions: Raufoss will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion) and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Raufoss is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stjørdals-Blink is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stjørdals-Blink could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Raufoss is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Raufoss won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Raufoss won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.08.22	Mjøndalen - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
31.07.22	Raufoss - Sandnes Ulf	1:1 ✺
27.07.22	Fredrikstad - Raufoss	0:4 ✺
24.07.22	Skeid - Raufoss	2:2 ✺
18.07.22	Raufoss - Brann	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WTWTL
- Stjørdals-Blink IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.08.22	Stjørdals-Blink - Grorud	1:0 ✺
31.07.22	Ranheim - Stjørdals-Blink	2:1 ✺
25.07.22	Stjørdals-Blink - Bryne	0:2 ✺
17.07.22	Kongsvinger - Stjørdals-Blink	5:0 ✺
10.07.22	Stjørdals-Blink - Raufoss	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.07.22	Stjørdals-Blink - Raufoss	1:2
20.10.21	Raufoss - Stjørdals-Blink	5:2
18.08.21	Stjørdals-Blink - Raufoss	0:1
07.12.20	Stjørdals-Blink - Raufoss	0:2
06.07.20	Raufoss - Stjørdals-Blink	3:1

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