Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 25

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad)

Referee: Tennoy M. (Nor)


	Fredrikstad		Raufoss

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.25	Watch
	1.51	4	5.5
	1.55	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.56	4.16	5.89
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.53	4.25	5.8
	1.52	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.69)	4.2 ↑ (3.69)	5.55 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
61.1%

Draw
22.2%

Raufoss
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

24.8%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

23.9%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fredrikstad's performance.

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Fredrikstad - Raufoss Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jensen H. (G) 6. Aukland P. 26. Nielsen M. 22. Woledzi M. 12. Metcalfe P. 13. Sorlokk S. 19. Magnusson J. 7. Hendriksson B. 4. Molde S. 14. Bjartalid J. 29. Aga O.	1. Lauvli O. (G) 2. Hansen A. 11. Fremstad N. 4. Westerlund S. 20. Simenstad G. 10. Mettler L. 6. Emsis E. 8. Johnsgard M. 16. Orsahl J. 9. Helmersen A. 15. Ampofo J.
Substitutes
11. Alba R. 20. Asheim H. 18. Begby L. 9. Johansen H. 16. Konte A. 17. Kvile S. 25. Langbraten O. (G) 27. Lassen M. 3. Skaret B.	17. Befring H. 26. Brattbakk F. 3. Engebakken T. 31. Fagereng A. (G) 21. Fagernes M. 5. Jansson O. 22. Nelson R. 7. Osterud A.
Coaches
Thomassen M.	Walemark J.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 1.

Fredrikstad in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Raufoss is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fredrikstad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fredrikstad is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fredrikstad to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Fredrikstad won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.09.23	Ranheim - Fredrikstad	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Fredrikstad - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Start - Fredrikstad	2:2 ✺
27.08.23	Fredrikstad - Hødd	1:0 ✺
23.08.23	Kongsvinger - Fredrikstad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWTWW
- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.09.23	Raufoss - Sandnes Ulf	1:1 ✺
15.09.23	Ranheim - Raufoss	1:3 ✺
03.09.23	Raufoss - Moss	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Åsane - Raufoss	3:1 ✺
23.08.23	Raufoss - Sogndal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.06.23	Raufoss - Fredrikstad	1:1
05.09.22	Raufoss - Fredrikstad	2:1
27.07.22	Fredrikstad - Raufoss	0:4
02.10.21	Fredrikstad - Raufoss	1:1
12.07.21	Raufoss - Fredrikstad	0:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
23.09.18	Raufoss - Fredrikstad	3:1
03.06.18	Fredrikstad - Raufoss	1:1

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