Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 28

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Nordre Åsen kunstgress (Oslo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Skeid		Raufoss

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.75	1.85	Watch
	3.65	3.8	1.85	Watch
	3.91	4	1.89
	2.26	3.82	2.63	Watch
	3.73	3.78	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.26)	3.83 ↑ (3.82)	2.02 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skeid
27.7%

Draw
24.9%

Raufoss
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

24.1%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

23.3%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skeid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Skeid's form might have worsened.

Raufoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raufoss's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skeid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Raufoss, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	7.1%	78.6%

Skeid - Raufoss Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Skeid will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Raufoss will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raufoss: 57.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Skeid (votes: 2 - 25%). Raufoss (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bajrami A. (G) 22. Hoyland L. 3. Flo F. 15. Hadzic A. 14. Toure O. 11. Bojang S. (C) 6. Naustdal T. 21. Neto L. 10. Andersen M. 45. Stensrud A. 7. Fiksdal J.	1. Klemensson A. (G) 4. Hansen A. 15. Hay K. 11. Fremstad N. (C) 22. Fors V. 14. Lynum J. 17. Nordbo S. 3. Bonde R. 8. Nelson R. 9. Hustad E. 10. Badjie K.
Substitutes
23. Akinyemi A. 1. Andersen M. (G) 2. Ba B. 9. Delaveris F. 39. Rise B. 17. Saad Y. 33. Stensland F. 29. Sunday G. 8. Yusuf H.	24. Aanesland M. 21. Agyeman Y. 20. Bojang M. 25. Engebakken T. E. 28. Jensen P. (G) 18. Mensah E. 5. Rotihaug O. 23. Selnaes J. S. 27. Steinset K.
Coaches
Rislaa V.	Walemark J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Badjie K. ⚽, Nelson R. (A),
28', Stensrud A. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Fremstad N. ⚽, Lynum J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 0 - 3, Nelson R. ⚽, Klemensson A. (A),
56', Badjie K. ↓, Aanesland M. ↑,
60', Hustad E. 🟨,
66', Stensrud A. ↓, Saad Y. ↑,
66', Naustdal T. ↓, Yusuf H. ↑,
69', Hay K. 🟨,
75', 1 - 3, Neto L. ⚽, Fiksdal J. (A),
77', Bonde R. ↓, Rotihaug O. ↑,
79', Toure O. ↓, Ba B. ↑,
79', Hoyland L. ↓, Delaveris F. ↑,
81', Lynum J. 🟨,
84', 1 - 4, Hustad E. ⚽, Aanesland M. (A),
84', Lynum J. ↓, Bojang M. ↑,
84', Hustad E. ↓, Steinset K. ↑,
88', Neto L. ↓, Rise B. ↑,
89', Saad Y. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation)).

Skeid is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skeid won 0.

Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.

Raufoss will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Skeid won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Skeid won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.10.25	Start - Skeid	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Skeid - Stabæk	0:5 ✺
04.10.25	Kongsvinger - Skeid	3:0 ✺
27.09.25	Skeid - Åsane	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Aalesunds - Skeid	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.10.25	Raufoss - Sogndal	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Egersund - Raufoss	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Start - Raufoss	4:0 ✺
29.09.25	Raufoss - Ranheim	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Stabæk - Raufoss	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.07.25	Raufoss - Skeid	1:1
Norwegian NM Cup
23.04.24	Skeid - Raufoss	1:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.08.23	Skeid - Raufoss	1:2
25.06.23	Raufoss - Skeid	1:0
Club Friendly
28.01.23	Raufoss - Skeid	3:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.07.22	Skeid - Raufoss	2:2
26.06.22	Raufoss - Skeid	1:0

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