Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ravenna		Fermana

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.8
	2.45	2.95	2.75
	2.6	2.65	2.88
	2.55	2.65	2.85
	2.65	2.85	3.02
	2.6	2.8	3
	2.62	2.79	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.22)	2.81 ↓ (2.97)	2.89 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ravenna
35.7%

Draw
32.6%

Fermana
31.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

30.4%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

22.5%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ravenna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Fermana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ravenna than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ravenna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fermana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ravenna - Fermana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Ravenna has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Fermana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fermana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ravenna won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ravenna won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ravenna FC
Italian Serie C Group B
31.03.21	Ravenna - Mantova	0:2 ✺
28.03.21	Padova - Ravenna	3:0 ✺
24.03.21	Sambenedettese - Ravenna	0:0 ✺
07.03.21	Gubbio - Ravenna	3:1 ✺
03.03.21	Ravenna - Matelica	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLL
- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
30.03.21	Fermana - Perugia	1:1 ✺
27.03.21	Fermana - Modena	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Matelica - Fermana	5:1 ✺
16.03.21	Fermana - Triestina	2:2 ✺
13.03.21	Arezzo - Fermana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
13.12.20	Fermana - Ravenna	2:1
22.01.20	Ravenna - Fermana	1:0
25.08.19	Fermana - Ravenna	2:1
02.02.19	Ravenna - Fermana	1:0
07.10.18	Fermana - Ravenna	0:2
22.12.17	Fermana - Ravenna	0:0
27.08.17	Ravenna - Fermana	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ravenna FC
Italian Serie C Group B
01.11.26	Ravenna - Pineto	✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.26	Carpi - Ravenna	✺

Ravenna - Fermana