Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 7

Date: 9 October 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Fermana		Perugia

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.5	1.55
	6	3.75	1.55	Watch
	6.11	3.66	1.61
	5	3.5	1.62
	5.5	3.64	1.55	Watch
	5.2	3.6	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.51 ↓ (5.52)	3.61 ↓ (3.74)	1.58 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
16.6%

Draw
25.4%

Perugia
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

24.5%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

23.8%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Fermana have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Fermana - Perugia Predictions

Users Predictions: Perugia will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Borghetto N. (G) 30. Laverone L. 6. Fort F. 27. Calderoni M. 3. Pistolesi F. 8. Scorza C. 20. Giandonato M. 26. Misuraca G. 10. Pinzi R. 9. Curatolo D. 70. Semprini M.	12. Furlan J. (G) 94. Mezzoni F. 5. Angella G. 6. Vulikic S. 71. Bozzolan A. 4. Iannoni E. 16. Bartolomei P. 28. Kouan C. 23. Lisi F. 26. Santoro S. 10. Matos
Substitutes
19. Biral N. 4. De Pascalis D. 2. Eleuteri A. 16. Fontana T. 22. Furlanetto A. (G) 21. Grassi L. 69. Montini M. 29. Palmucci S. 11. Paponi D. 15. Santi P. 5. Spedalieri J. 7. Tilli R. 18. Vessella M.	1. Abibi A. (G) 18. Acella C. 3. Cancellieri D. 17. Ebnoutalib Y. 86. Giunti G. 25. Morichelli R. 7. Paz Y. 20. Ricci F. 11. Seghetti A. 91. Souare M. 24. Torrasi E.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Fermana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Perugia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fermana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Perugia is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	Pescara - Fermana	6:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.23	Vis Pesaro - Fermana	2:2 ✺
23.09.23	Fermana - Cesena	0:4 ✺
19.09.23	Fermana - Recanatese	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Gubbio - Fermana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLLT
- Perugia Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	Nuova Monterosi - Perugia	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
01.10.23	Perugia - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Rimini - Perugia	2:2 ✺
19.09.23	Perugia - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
15.09.23	SPAL - Perugia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
30.03.21	Fermana - Perugia	1:1
18.10.20	Perugia - Fermana	2:0
Club Friendly
24.07.18	Perugia - Fermana	2:0

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