Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Ravenna		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	1.59	4	4.4
	1.57	3.92	4.08
	1.6	4.13	4.54	Watch
	1.54	3.84	5.3
	1.59	4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.41)	3.98 ↓ (4.2)	4.54 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ravenna
57.3%

Draw
22.7%

Pistoiese
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21.6%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

20.6%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ravenna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ravenna's form might have worsened.

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pistoiese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ravenna than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ravenna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pistoiese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ravenna - Pistoiese Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Pistoiese (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pistoiese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Extra Time (2 - 0)
109', 1 - 0, ⚽,
116', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Ravenna have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pistoiese has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ravenna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ravenna is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ravenna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ravenna won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ravenna FC
Italian Serie D - Group D
04.05.25	Progresso - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Ravenna - Lentigione	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Cittadella Vis Modena - Ravenna	2:3 ✺
13.04.25	Ravenna - Fiorenzuola	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Tau Altopascio - Ravenna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWT
- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
11.05.25	Tau Altopascio - Pistoiese	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Pistoiese - Corticella	5:0 ✺
17.04.25	Forlì - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Pistoiese - Zenith Prato	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	San Marino Calcio - Pistoiese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
26.01.25	Ravenna - Pistoiese	1:0
07.01.24	Pistoiese - Ravenna	0:3
10.09.23	Ravenna - Pistoiese	1:0
30.04.23	Pistoiese - Ravenna	1:1
18.12.22	Ravenna - Pistoiese	1:1

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