The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ravenna 48.5%
Draw 29.9%
Renate 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
25.2%
22.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.4%
24.5%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ravenna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ravenna than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Ravenna - Renate Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Borra D. (G) 2. Donati G. 44. Bianconi A. 47. Scaringi M. 77. Da Pozzo L. 20. Calandrini G. (C) 17. Lonardi L. 84. Menegazzo L. 3. Falbo L. 18. Luciani P. 29. Zagre A.
12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 24. Spedalieri J. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 15. Ori R. 11. Delcarro A. 17. Bonetti A. 25. Vassallo F. 14. Cali M. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 92. Anelli N. 77. De Leo L.
Substitutes
1. Anacoura J. (G) 45. Castellacci M. 27. Corsinelli F. 6. Di Marco T. 21. Esposito A. 4. Mandorlini M. 9. Motti M. 8. Rossetti M. 11. Rrapaj P. 73. Sermenghi L. 5. Solini M. 19. Spini C. 12. Stagni T. (G) 16. Tenkorang J. 10. Viola N.
23. Di Nolfo F. 30. La Ruffa P. 72. Mastromonaco G. 28. Meloni M. 45. Nene S. 21. Riviera C. 33. Rossi A. (G) 6. Rossi G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Vassallo F. 🟨,
34', Zagre A. 🟨,
39', Spedalieri J. ↓, Riviera C. ↑,
41', 0 - 1, Bonetti A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Donati G. ↓, Viola N. ↑,
46', Scaringi M. ↓, Esposito A. ↑,
63', Bonetti A. ↓, Mastromonaco G. ↑,
63', Anelli N. ↓, Nene S. ↑,
71', Delcarro A. 🟨,
72', Menegazzo L. ↓, Mandorlini M. ↑,
72', Zagre A. ↓, Spini C. ↑,
73', Vassallo F. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,
80', Luciani P. ↓, Motti M. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Viola N. ⚽,
Penalties (6 - 7)
1, Viola N. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Delcarro A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Falbo L. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Rossi G. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Lonardi L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cali M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Motti M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mastromonaco G. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Spini C. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Ori R. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Calandrini G. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Nene S. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Esposito A. (Penalty Awarded),
7, De Leo L. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Ravenna is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Renate's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Renate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Renate has had a series of away games.
In this match, Ravenna is considered a favorite.
We predict that Ravenna will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ravenna won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 0.8:0).
Including home matches between the teams, Ravenna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Last Results with these Odds
Ravenna - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 51.91%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.