Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 16

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Mino Favini (Meda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Renate		Union ArzignanoChiampo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.98	3.05
	2.54	2.88	3.17
	2.59	3.14	2.69	Watch
	2.55	2.99	2.91	Watch
	2.42	2.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.59)	2.96 ↓ (3.14)	3 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renate
37.4%

Draw
31.5%

Union ArzignanoChiampo
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.6%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

29.5%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Union ArzignanoChiampo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Renate - Union ArzignanoChiampo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nobile T. (G) 24. Spedalieri J. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 21. Riviera C. 72. Mastromonaco G. 25. Vassallo F. 11. Delcarro A. 17. Bonetti A. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 77. De Leo L. 92. Anelli N.	22. Manfrin F. (G) 33. Boffelli A. (C) 27. Coppola A. 23. Bernardi E. 13. Cariolato F. 4. Chiarello R. 6. Lakti E. 19. Toniolo F. 10. Minesso M. 9. Mattioli A. 16. Moretti M.
Substitutes
12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 32. Ghezzi A. 9. Karlsson O. 10. Kolaj A. 28. Meloni M. 45. Nene S. 15. Ori R. 6. Rossi G. 13. Spalluto S. 19. Ziu D.	20. Antoniazzi M. 15. Bianchi N. 26. Boccia S. 17. Castegnaro L. 31. Invaso T. 7. Lanzi E. 37. Milillo A. 32. Nanni N. 1. Nespola M. (G) 44. Valentini F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Toniolo F. ⚽,
21', Ruiz Giraldo P. 🟨,
26', Anelli N. 🟨,
29', Lakti E. 🟨,
42', Cariolato F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ruiz Giraldo P. ↓, Ghezzi A. ↑,
46', De Leo L. ↓, Karlsson O. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Karlsson O. ⚽,
65', Mattioli A. ↓, Nanni N. ↑,
65', Moretti M. ↓, Bianchi N. ↑,
65', Anelli N. ↓, Spalluto S. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Minesso M. ⚽,
75', Vassallo F. ↓, Nene S. ↑,
79', Riviera C. 🟨,
81', Minesso M. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
84', Manfrin F. 🟨,
85', Bonetti A. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,
89', Chiarello R. ↓, Antoniazzi M. ↑,
89', Toniolo F. ↓, Milillo A. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renate won 1.

Renate is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

ArzignanoChiampo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Renate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Renate has had a series of away games.

Renate could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Renate won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Renate won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Renate - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.87%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Renate
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Inter U23 - Renate	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
23.11.25	Novara - Renate	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vicenza Virtus - Renate	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Renate - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Lumezzane - Renate	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWLWT
- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Coppa Italia Serie C
25.11.25	Ravenna - Union ArzignanoChiampo	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
22.11.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:2 ✺
15.11.25	Cittadella - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Lecco - Union ArzignanoChiampo	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
04.05.25	Renate - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:0
28.03.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Renate	1:2
16.11.24	Renate - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:0
24.03.24	Renate - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:3
18.11.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Renate	1:1
11.05.23	Renate - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:0
22.04.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Renate	2:3

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