Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 15

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Novara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Novara		Renate

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	2.92	3.2
	2.04	2.98	3.98	Watch
	2.29	2.85	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.04)	2.92 ↓ (2.98)	3.46 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Novara
41.8%

Draw
31.6%

Renate
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

31.2%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

29.6%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Novara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Novara - Renate Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Boseggia E. (G) 70. Valdesi A. 6. Citi A. 28. Cannavaro A. 15. Khailoti O. 8. Di Cosmo L. 99. Basso G. 17. Dell'Erba D. 10. Donadio C. 9. Alberti T. 7. Lanini E.	22. Nobile T. (G) 24. Spedalieri J. 5. Auriletto S. 21. Riviera C. 72. Mastromonaco G. 11. Delcarro A. 8. Esposito G. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 10. Kolaj A. 17. Bonetti A. 9. Karlsson O.
Substitutes
72. Agyemang G. 32. Andreotti R. (G) 36. Arboscello R. 5. Bertoncini D. 65. Cortese A. 71. D'Alessio L. 27. Deseri G. 3. Lartey S. 11. Ledonne N. 4. Malaspina M. 23. Morosini L. 90. Perini G. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 21. Ranieri R.	92. Anelli N. 12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 14. Cali M. 77. De Leo L. 32. Ghezzi A. 28. Meloni M. 45. Nene S. 15. Ori R. 6. Rossi G. 13. Spalluto S. 25. Vassallo F. 19. Ziu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Donadio C. 🟨,
34', Citi A. 🟨,
44', Kolaj A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Kolaj A. ↓, De Leo L. ↑,
62', Esposito G. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,
66', Bonetti A. 🟨,
68', Bonetti A. ↓, Cali M. ↑,
69', Karlsson O. ↓, Anelli N. ↑,
72', Basso G. ↓, Ranieri R. ↑,
74', Alberti T. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
76', Rossi G. 🟨,
78', 0 - 1, De Leo L. ⚽,
82', Mastromonaco G. ↓, Ghezzi A. ↑,
87', Cannavaro A. ↓, Bertoncini D. ↑,
87', Valdesi A. ↓, Arboscello R. ↑,
89', Bertoncini D. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novara won 3.

Novara is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Renate has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Novara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Novara might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Novara won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Novara won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
16.11.25	Alcione - Novara	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Novara - Lecco	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Pergolettese - Novara	2:2 ✺
24.10.25	Novara - Virtus Verona	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTTW
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
16.11.25	Vicenza Virtus - Renate	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Renate - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Lumezzane - Renate	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Renate - Juventus U23	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
25.10.25	Renate - Lecco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
23.02.25	Novara - Renate	1:0
11.10.24	Renate - Novara	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.08.24	Renate - Novara	2:3 penalties
Italian Serie C Group A
06.03.24	Novara - Renate	1:1
28.10.23	Renate - Novara	2:2
23.12.22	Renate - Novara	1:0
03.09.22	Novara - Renate	3:1

Upcoming Matches