Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Rayo Cantabria		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.85	4.55
	1.62	4.03	4.69
	1.62	4.04	4.5	Watch
	1.69	4	4.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.7)	3.98 ↑ (3.57)	4.54 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Cantabria
56.6%

Draw
23.1%

Atlético Astorga
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

25.3%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

24.7%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Cantabria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Rayo Cantabria - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Mascaro P. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, El Battioui A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
66', 2 - 1, Mascaro P. ⚽,
73', 3 - 1, Mascaro P. ⚽,
86', 3 - 2, Ribeiro A. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 10).

Rayo Cantabria is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atlético Astorga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Atlético Astorga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Rayo Cantabria is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rayo Cantabria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Atl. Astorga	5	1	0	4	5:7	-2	3
18	Rayo Cantabria	5	0	1	4	3:11	-8	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.04.26	Salamanca - Rayo Cantabria	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Rayo Cantabria - Real Oviedo B	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Burgos Promesas - Rayo Cantabria	4:4 ✺
15.03.26	Rayo Cantabria - Valladolid B	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Rayo Cantabria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWTWL
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.04.26	Atlético Astorga - Lealtad	3:4 ✺
29.03.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Atlético Astorga	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Atlético Astorga - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Numancia - Atlético Astorga	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Atlético Astorga - Marino de Luanco	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.10.25	Atlético Astorga - Rayo Cantabria	1:1

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