Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Burgos Promesas		Rayo Cantabria

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.2	2.2
	2.82	3.2	2.25
	3.1	3.2	2.31
	2.98	3.21	2.27	Watch
	3.08	2.98	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.83)	3.16 ↓ (3.22)	2.26 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
30.8%

Draw
28.9%

Rayo Cantabria
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

28.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

27.5%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Rayo Cantabria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Burgos Promesas - Rayo Cantabria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
14', 1 - 0, Lecic L. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Mascaro P. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Ares J. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 2 - 2, Franco S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
60', 3 - 2, Cuenca Martinez H. F. ⚽,
88', 3 - 3, Mascaro P. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 3, Ventosa E. ⚽,
90+8', 4 - 4, Gonzalez Gonzalez M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Recent form of Burgos Promesas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rayo Cantabria is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Burgos Promesas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Burgos Promesas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Rayo Cantabria	5	0	1	4	3:11	-8	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.03.26	Marino de Luanco - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Burgos Promesas - Bergantiños	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Numancia - Burgos Promesas	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Burgos Promesas - Real Ávila	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Langreo - Burgos Promesas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWLLL
- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.03.26	Rayo Cantabria - Valladolid B	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Rayo Cantabria	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Rayo Cantabria - Lealtad	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	UD Ourense - Rayo Cantabria	3:3 ✺
15.02.26	Bergantiños - Rayo Cantabria	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.09.25	Rayo Cantabria - Burgos Promesas	0:0
14.05.23	Burgos Promesas - Rayo Cantabria	3:0
15.01.23	Rayo Cantabria - Burgos Promesas	1:1

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