Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Numancia		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.35
	1.53	3.88	6.32
	1.49	4	5.97	Watch
	1.54	3.58	5.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.66)	3.82 ↑ (3.18)	5.88 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
60.4%

Draw
24%

Atlético Astorga
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

28.9%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

31.5%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Numancia's performance.

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-1%)

Numancia - Atlético Astorga Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, El Battioui A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 9).

Recent performances by Numancia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Astorga is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Numancia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Numancia is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Numancia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Atl. Astorga	5	1	0	4	5:7	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.03.26	Valladolid B - Numancia	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Numancia - Burgos Promesas	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Numancia	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Numancia - UD Ourense	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Salamanca - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLWT
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.03.26	Atlético Astorga - Marino de Luanco	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Sámano - Atlético Astorga	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Atlético Astorga - Langreo	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Real Oviedo B - Atlético Astorga	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Atlético Astorga - Bergantiños	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
20.12.25	Atlético Astorga - Numancia	1:0

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