Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Rayo Cantabria		Real Ávila

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.52
	2.41	3.4	2.74
	2.34	3.56	2.63	Watch
	2.34	3.75	2.66
	2.23	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.23)	3.46 ↑ (3.1)	2.66 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rayo Cantabria
39.2%

Draw
26.4%

Real Ávila
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

28.4%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

27.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Cantabria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Real Ávila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Rayo Cantabria - Real Ávila Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Diaz D. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Mascaro P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
66', 3 - 0, Mascaro P. ⚽,
70', 4 - 0, Mascaro P. ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 1, Moreno A. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Rayo Cantabria is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Real Ávila has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rayo Cantabria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Rayo Cantabria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Rayo Cantabria	5	0	1	4	3:11	-8	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.04.26	Coruxo - Rayo Cantabria	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Rayo Cantabria - Atlético Astorga	3:2 ✺
05.04.26	Salamanca - Rayo Cantabria	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Rayo Cantabria - Real Oviedo B	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Burgos Promesas - Rayo Cantabria	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWWWT
- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.04.26	Real Ávila - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Numancia - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Real Ávila - Langreo	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Sámano - Real Ávila	0:4 ✺
21.03.26	Real Ávila - Marino de Luanco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.01.26	Real Ávila - Rayo Cantabria	3:3
09.02.25	Real Ávila - Rayo Cantabria	4:0
29.09.24	Rayo Cantabria - Real Ávila	0:2

Upcoming Matches