Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Rayo Cantabria		Sámano

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.9	5.7
	1.52	3.84	6.37
	1.5	3.98	5.99	Watch
	1.58	3.79	5.79
	1.5	3.75	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.49)	3.85 ↑ (3.6)	6.04 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Cantabria
60.8%

Draw
23.9%

Sámano
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

24.4%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

19%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Cantabria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Sámano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Cantabria than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Cantabria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sámano than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sámano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rayo Cantabria - Sámano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Franco S. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Argos A. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
51', 3 - 0, Argos A. ⚽,
54', 4 - 0, Argos A. ⚽,
61', 5 - 0, Diaz Cacho D. ⚽,
75', 6 - 0, Garcia J. ⚽,
86', 7 - 0, Mascaro P. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Rayo Cantabria has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sámano is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Rayo Cantabria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rayo Cantabria is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rayo Cantabria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Rayo Cantabria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Rayo Cantabria	5	0	1	4	3:11	-8	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.02.26	Marino de Luanco - Rayo Cantabria	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Rayo Cantabria - Langreo	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Rayo Cantabria	3:3 ✺
11.01.26	Rayo Cantabria - Numancia	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Real Ávila - Rayo Cantabria	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLTTT
- UD Sámano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.02.26	Sámano - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Sámano	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Sámano - Burgos Promesas	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Real Oviedo B - Sámano	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sámano - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.11.25	Sámano - Rayo Cantabria	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
12.10.17	Rayo Cantabria - Sámano	1:0

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