Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 17

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Cerro del Espino (Majadahonda)


	Rayo Majadahonda		Intercity

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.25
	2.1	2.87	3.3
	2.18	2.92	3.15
	2.23	2.88	3.42	Watch
	2.25	2.75	3.4
	2.21	2.93	3.27
	2.12	2.9	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.16)	2.89 ↓ (3.12)	3.35 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
41.6%

Draw
31.3%

Intercity
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Intercity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Rayo Majadahonda - Intercity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Amaro A. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Plomer D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 2 - 1, Herrera C. ⚽,
74', 3 - 1, Faure I. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, Duran J. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Rayo Majadahonda will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Intercity - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 28.01%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.12.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Rayo Majadahonda	0:4 ✺
13.12.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Colonia Moscardó - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Alcalá - Rayo Majadahonda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTTW
- CF Intercity
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.12.25	Conquense - Intercity	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Intercity - Getafe B	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Intercity	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Intercity - Rayo Vallecano B	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Colonia Moscardó - Intercity	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWTWW

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