Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Rayo Vallecano B		Rayo Majadahonda

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.91
	3.5	3	1.98
	3.4	3.2	1.98
	3.79	2.97	2.09
	3.7	3.19	1.99	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2
	3.6	3.16	1.98
	3.75	3.1	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (3.71)	3.14 ↓ (3.18)	1.99 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano B
25.5%

Draw
28.9%

Rayo Majadahonda
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

28.4%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

27.5%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano B than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Rayo Vallecano B - Rayo Majadahonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Faure I. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Yoshimura Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 3, Faure I. ⚽,
78', 0 - 4, San Jose K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Rayo Vallecano B has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rayo Majadahonda is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rayo Majadahonda could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.12.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Las Palmas B	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Intercity - Rayo Vallecano B	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Elche Ilicitano	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Orihuela - Rayo Vallecano B	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLW
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.12.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Colonia Moscardó - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Alcalá - Rayo Majadahonda	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTTWW

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