Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Cerro del Espino (Majadahonda)


	Rayo Majadahonda		Real Madrid C

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.6
				Watch
	1.95	3	3.75
	2.1	3	3.82
	1.96	3.22	3.75	Watch
	2.02	2.97	3.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.91)	3.06 ↓ (3.2)	3.73 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
45.7%

Draw
29.8%

Real Madrid C
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.2%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.1%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Real Madrid C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Rayo Majadahonda - Real Madrid C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Prats P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 10).

Rayo Majadahonda is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Real Madrid C has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rayo Majadahonda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rayo Majadahonda is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rayo Majadahonda won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Rayo Majadahonda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.11.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Tenerife B	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Quintanar del Rey - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Talavera de la Reina	1:4 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.10.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Elche Ilicitano	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Socuéllamos - Rayo Majadahonda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWW
- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.11.25	Real Madrid C - Fuenlabrada	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Coria - Real Madrid C	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Real Madrid C - Intercity	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Orihuela - Real Madrid C	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Real Madrid C - Getafe B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.04.25	Real Madrid C - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1
07.12.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Real Madrid C	2:1

Upcoming Matches